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Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jan 27/22, Down 5.7%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly Our PAST TOP PICK with AZO has triggered its stop at $1800. To remain disciplined, we recommend covering the position at this time. This will result in a net investment gain of 11%, when combined with the previous recommendation to cover half the position.
premiumPremium content

Unlock this Panic-proof Portfolio opinion with Stockchase Premium

Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Feb 10/22, Down 11.5%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly Our PAST TOP PICK with LULU has triggered its stop at $300. To remain disciplined, we recommend covering the position at this time. This will result in a net investment gain of 6%, when combined with the previous recommendation to cover half the position.
premiumPremium content

Unlock this Panic-proof Portfolio opinion with Stockchase Premium

Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Feb 15/22, Down 5.6%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly Our PAST TOP PICK with KNX has triggered its stop at $52. To remain disciplined, we recommend covering the position at this time. This will result in a net investment gain of 9%, when combined with the previous buy recommendation and recommendation to cover half the position.
premiumPremium content

Unlock this Panic-proof Portfolio opinion with Stockchase Premium

Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Feb 17/22, Down 5.2%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly Our PAST TOP PICK with NWSA has triggered its stop at $22. To remain disciplined, we recommend covering the position at this time. This will result in a net investment loss of 4%, when combined with the previous buy recommendation.
COMMENT
Markets. It's been a crazy 2022. Markets and investors are challenged this year with rising interest rates, inflation, and geopolitical tensions. Some of these concerns are somewhat misplaced. His research shows that equity markets generally do not become impaired unless inflation remains at 6%. US inflation is at 7% today, but he sees supply chain disruptions easing into the year, so inflation pressures will fall. Yields will continue to climb as the economy expands. Historically, rising interest rates on 10-year treasuries coincide with bullish equity markets. Escalating tensions between Russia-Ukraine have increased investor fear. Looking at similar past events, they fail to have any lasting impact on global economy and equity markets. In 2014, the S&P dropped 6% leading into the annexation of Crimea, but for that calendar year the S&P turned out a 14% return. It's emotional and scary, but take advantage of those fears and see what's ahead for the next 12-18 months. He doesn't see a recession around the corner. Equity bear markets are very unlikely.
COMMENT
How to ride out the storm in the near term? Cyclicals is where you want to be. Likes the energy sector. Capacity constraints have caused supply to remain static while demand keeps going higher. Oil and nat gas prices will continue to be strong. Also favours financials and industrials. Healthcare is a nice place with good, defensive growth.
BUY
Still good with rising rates? YTD it's quite positive in the face of market volatility. 1/3 energy, almost 1/3 financials, 14-15% communication. At a time of rising rates, it's important that the companies you buy have the ability to increase dividends. Most of the companies in this ETF have that ability. Trades at a discount, 15x PE, to the broader TSX at 18x PE. Yield is 3.7%.
HOLD
Likes the payment companies. He owns MA instead. Hampered by lockdowns. Higher margins come from cross-border travel. Short-term, if Covid continues to recede, travel will increase. Earnings will move higher. Long-term, secular trend to digital payments.
HOLD
Likes the payment companies. Hampered by lockdowns. Higher margins come from cross-border travel. Short-term, if Covid continues to recede, travel will increase. Earnings will move higher. Long-term, secular trend to digital payments.
COMMENT
Great company, but market's shifted away from growth. 12x forward price to sales, not cheap. Good growth metrics. Owning it depends on the tech weighting in your portfolio.
COMMENT
Tech holdings in a portfolio. Tech sector has outperformed the S&P 500 for the last 8 years. Can this continue? He's not sure it can, as valuations are right up there. Sector is 6.5x price to sales, where we were in March 2000 when the tech sector dropped 82%. The market's shifted away from growth. Some of the beaten up names could be a trade on a bounce. A 60% tech weighting in your portfolio is a sign to trim.
WEAK BUY
Likes US and global financials. Great management. Well executed. Not really expensive at 1.6x price to book. 11x forward earnings. Below 200-day MA, due to volatility. A few names he likes a bit more, but he likes it.
BUY ON WEAKNESS
Still likes it. Bit of a premium, for good reason. Membership renewals are 90%. Sales per square foot better than everyone. 200-day MA is sweeping upward. Buying opportunity with recent volatility. Great, defensive growth retailer.
HOLD
Rough earnings. Below 200-day MA, but still moving up. Trendlines are flattening. Early pandemic winners are giving way to early pandemic losers. Great franchise. 19x forward earnings for 10% growth, so not terrible. Shift in sentiment away from home improvement. Don't add.
HOLD
Hurt due to regulatory shift in China. Middle class in China continues to grow; by 2027, it will represent 1/4 of the world's middle class. BABA will benefit. Be patient. Cheap relative to others at 12x PE, 1.9x price to sales. Government should step in to ease slowing growth in China. 12-24 months from now, you'll be happy to own it.