BUY

A fantastic company that he would buy. The valuation is a little bit high for a tech company, but they have a tremendous balance sheet and cash flow and they are just unleashing the potential of YouTube. GOOG-Q is a very disruptive company. YouTube is the crown jewel now.

BUY

He likes it a lot. They acquired Level 3 and $10 Billion in operating losses so they will not pay taxes for a long time. The 8% dividend yield is paid, but freed up the cash flow. The wire line business is going away.

BUY

Financials are his favourite. This is his favourite large cap finance and has been for some time. It is trending at a discount to its book value. Stick it away for the long term and don’t follow it on a daily basis.

BUY

The industry could see continued consolidation. Volumes in North America continually go down, but they increase their pricing because it is an adductive product. Be careful of interest rate sensitivity to this one because investors use them as an income play. He likes it in a diversified portfolio.

DON'T BUY

Has been a yoyo over the last year. They had headline risk that they manipulated chicken prices. They are the largest chicken producer. He refers SAFM-Q because their valuation is cheaper and they are smaller.

TOP PICK

The stock is off about 18% or so the last three months. There is a Barbie turn-around. Barbie grew in double digits. They paid up for shelf space during the holiday season which pressured margins. They are turning around in the right direction. They are moving to 3D printing. Once they start streamlining that process it will save tremendous amounts of costs in the future. (Analysts’ target: $31.42).

TOP PICK

His favourite company that no one knows about. A $9 billion dollar company that does billing for telecom operators. Switching costs are very, very high. It has a 1.3% dividend yield, which has grown 15% annually for 3 years and they have bought back stock for 10 years. 80% of their business is recurring revenue. (Analysts’ target: $ 63.11).

TOP PICK

They disappointed investors except with the multiple. They tripled the dividend in 3 years. It has a 3% yield. They spent a lot of time in cash, buying back stock. They are classified as consumer discretionary. He does not think underwear in discretionary. (Analysts’ target: $27.54).

N/A

Market. Equity values are at stretched valuations, so if there are disappointments on the policy front, we could be in for some trouble. His strategy is being long financials, industrials and energy. There is still a lot of risk out there. The principal risk is in valuations. The US has really been a magnet for a lot of the world’s investable capital, and as a result we are getting a pretty bifurcated market right now. He is bullish on Japanese shares, but his caveat is to be hedged, and he is Short the Long Japanese shares, a play that has got a lot of folks interested again, partly because the Japanese monetary authorities have changed their policies more towards targeting yields. As a result, you typically get currency going down and the stock market going up. France is also very interesting. On the debt side, he is starting to see the spread starting to move out quite a bit from where the German Bund would be on the curve, as well as some skittishness in the equity market. He hopes to take advantage of volatility that will come out of the election. He’s been Short the Cdn$ for quite a while, but has it on a fairly short lease because it has been probing the $.70 level on a couple of occasions, and has been bouncing in a range of $.75-$.77. The issue here is partially a hedge against growth continuing to slow. If the Trump bump doesn’t manifest itself the way the market thinks, or doesn’t have the repercussions globally, he expects the Cdn$ and Australian $ will both be under pressure.

COMMENT

The proverbial story of valuation versus fundamentals. This is really a killer in its categories of online retailing and Cloud services. However, it is not cheap. You are looking at 25 to 28 times cash flow. They have a fair bit of growth to achieve in the next little while to come into that valuation. He would prefer looking at this in 2 parts, online retailing and Cloud services, so would suggest maybe looking at Microsoft, which has been growing its share in Cloud services. A cheaper stock and pays a dividend.

COMMENT

He would prefer ING Groep NV (ING-N), which is very cheap and trading at around Book right now. Expects rates in Europe will start to rise, and he would focus on the highest quality names.

HOLD

Had a near-death experience because of debt, and it took a change in commodity prices for it turn. If bullish on industrial commodities, this is one you could continue to own. Has a lot of hidden assets.

COMMENT

One of the premier media companies globally. The management team is critical on this name. There is speculation that Bob Iger is going to be staying on past 2018. The real challenge has been ESPN. Thinks the worst days are now behind it, and you can trade it up into the $120-$130 level.

HOLD

He likes this. Over the last 4-5 months, iPhone 7 was not as bad as he had expected, and also the services side of the business is growing faster than he had thought it would. Also, that is in the context of a not very robust economy. Looking at the product cycle coming, some of the big improvements they’ve made in their laptop and the Mac business and its low valuation, he covered his Short position and is now Long.

COMMENT

Just released really, really strong results. Terrific operators and have great properties. He is a little concerned with the natural gas price not going up dramatically from here. Also, you should be a little cautious about the border adjustment tax Trump is floating and its impact on Canadian E & P companies.