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Amazon.com, Inc.AMZNCOMMENTFeb 09, 2017Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Aug 28, 2026. Market Open.
Great earnings (21%) for a reasonable valuation (28x forward PE). PEG ratio is decent. Much more than online shopping -- e-commerce plus AWS, digital advertising, logistics, AI services, custom chips. AWS earnings have exceeded expectations, while AWS has grown 37%. Cloud business is a leader.
Spending in AI is really paying off. Tangible results through faster cloud growth, wider AI deployment, and improving profitability and logistics in fulfillment centres. One of only 5 companies to have touched $3T in market cap. No dividend.
Is a big holding of his. The CEO assures stockholders that Amazon's large invest in AI will pay off. AWS could become a trillion-dollar business now that it's using AI; it's already Amazon's most-profitable business, far more than Prime. The CEO expects returns from AI will come faster than AWS. The CEO raised capex higher, but shares still rallied, up 4.58% today.
AWS is a real earnings engine, growth accelerated to nearly 40% (fastest pace in more than 4 years). Enormous AI spending finally translating into faster cloud growth, and translating into profits faster than the competition. Headline profit was inflated by a large paper gain on its investment in Anthropic.
AWS, retail and ads all accelerated in growth while profits hit a record high with operating margins of 13.7%. AWS contributes 61% of operating income and is accelerating rapidly. Has lots of momentum. Even if you cut the backlog in half, you still see outsize growth and market share gains. It gives her confidence in the AI space for Amazon.
This, Microsoft, Google and Meta will be the distribution point of AI to wide adoption. AWS remains the dominant cloud player. OpenAI divorced from MSFT, so it could not be hosted on AWS. AWS is accelerating investments in data centres and chips, which is where the opportunity lies.
(Analysts’ price target is $315.16)He expects Amazon and Google to win the AI race. They have the money to build data centres and hire the best talent. He trims when the share price rises, and buys when the price declines. AMZN is one of the best companies in the world and is a long-term hold. Their retail and cloud (the leader) businesses are growing.
The proverbial story of valuation versus fundamentals. This is really a killer in its categories of online retailing and Cloud services. However, it is not cheap. You are looking at 25 to 28 times cash flow. They have a fair bit of growth to achieve in the next little while to come into that valuation. He would prefer looking at this in 2 parts, online retailing and Cloud services, so would suggest maybe looking at Microsoft, which has been growing its share in Cloud services. A cheaper stock and pays a dividend.