COMMENT

This is in transition, but it does have fundamentals. His model price is $200, a 15% upside. Pays a 3% dividend. Even if they disappoint on the top and bottom lines, they know how many shares to buy back to make the whole thing work.

DON'T BUY

His model price is $5.62. They are paying out $2.76. Earnings for 2015 is a negative $0.10 and a negative $0.09 for 2016. Yield is 9.41%.

TOP PICK

His model price is $52.98, almost a 60% upside. The old techs are not being properly valued in this market. The fundamentals are there for this one to go significantly higher in the next little while. Dividend yield of 2.91%.

TOP PICK

His model price is $45.56, an upside of 53%. 3% dividend yield.

TOP PICK

The media focuses on negative stories, but these big companies can shift assets and wring out some costs to make up for any sort of pricing differential. His model price is $168, a 54% upside.

N/A

Economy. The recent US housing numbers were great. Very similar to what happened last year, specifically on the weather, but with GDP growth formulas basically biased on the back half of the year. It started out slow and moving better off into the tail end. Whether or not we see that continuing is everyone’s question. Perhaps some of the low oil price money, that everyone thought was being saved, is moving into bigger purchase items such as housing, which would help fuel housing starts and building permits. This is consistent with his view in that the 1st quarter will follow through into the latter half of the year in Canada and the US as well as emerging markets, starting off slow and continuing along.

COMMENT

R&D spending in the last quarter has been quite high. Seem to have some pet projects they keep funnelling money into. On the android side, for example, they continue to give it away for free, but what that does is allow applications and data to be pulled off. That is positive in the long term. The advertising side continues to be dominant. Their shift to mobile, accepting pages that are typically enhanced to work on mobile applications, is another avenue. It really comes down to a longer-term investment horizon and believing they will be able to move around that big advertising elephant. Good value, good cash and a good balance sheet are important in this market. He is positive on this company.

COMMENT

Quite positive on Brookfield as a whole. Specifically on the property side you are seeing “okay” value. But on the infrastructure side and big assets, it is the old theory of reaching for yield. You are buying an office building and you are getting rent. He feels there is better value on the asset management side, Brookfield Asset Management (BAM.A-T), simply because everything flows up to it.

PARTIAL BUY

This is in an industry where the government seems pretty happy with consistently suing them again and again and again. With their acquisition of Countrywide, they really got ahead of themselves. We have seen the government regulate that company, more so than others, which has had the effect of forcing them to operate within pretty tight guidelines. Has a good retail banking platform. Unfortunately there is a lot of work to be done to get it up to a good level as well as to win government trust. This would be a wait and see, but is certainly one that you could nibble away at. Good value.

HOLD

A really interesting company in an interesting space. Biotech overall has done very well and there are really some good metrics here. This company is buying the larger scale operations from unloved pharmaceutical companies. He feels it is trying to become like Valeant (VRX-N). Thinks there is growth there. There are a lot of the bigger drug companies that don’t want their lower tier drugs, which are susceptible to generic drugs, and are willing to farm those off in order to concentrate on higher return products. The space as a whole has gone up in value, and is certainly not cheap.

COMMENT

Sold his holdings about 6 months ago, just on valuation. It really comes down to global growth for them. Global growth has been dropping. Great company with great products. He is hoping to pick this up at a lower price.

COMMENT

Very volatile with its prime focus on western Canada and Alberta, where they have a large number of their dealerships. His concern is their debt side. How they are going to continue to grow, with the debt levels they have, is too risky for him.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick July 10/14. Up 37.1%.) This choice came down to the whole company and their suite of product offerings. He has taken some money off the table. This will continue to grow. Thinks it would be very hard to pull people away from their Apple products.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick July 10/14. Up 26.45%.) Trading near the top of his range. This was a benefit of having a non-bank financial in Canada, as well as having the benefit of having 75% of its business geared to the US. Made a great acquisition which is performing fairly well. Good management.

TOP PICK

(A Top Pick July 10/14. Down 21.5%.) This ultimately comes down to the management team, which has a proven conservative track record of executing. Great balance sheet. At $40 oil they would still be able to grow their production if they wanted. Their discipline is to spend within cash flow. Debt levels are nice and low. Doesn’t pay a dividend which he views as a real positive.