Alphabet IncGOOGCOMMENTMay 19, 2015Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jul 10, 2026. Market Open.
Fears that AI would eat its lunch. Harder for Anthropic to monetize a new tool than for GOOG to take AI and apply it to a business model that it already monetizes. Muscle memory of the populace gravitates to GOOG to find information. Probably thrives in the new AI world, until something more disruptive comes along.
AI monetization is happening, and AI Mode has been a game changer. Stronger cloud growth (revenue grew 63% YOY last quarter, tremendous), broader monetization across platforms. Search and advertising remain strong, lots of cashflow. Also a great ecosystem.
Good growth, but relatively decent valuation. Yield is 0.25%.
A year ago, consensus was that Search was going to die. Seems ridiculous now. Gemini is overtaking ChatGPT. Data centre business is growing faster than before. Still not that expensive. He hasn't sold any shares yet, but may take some off the table from the long-term holding and put toward one of the Mag 7 laggards.
R&D spending in the last quarter has been quite high. Seem to have some pet projects they keep funnelling money into. On the android side, for example, they continue to give it away for free, but what that does is allow applications and data to be pulled off. That is positive in the long term. The advertising side continues to be dominant. Their shift to mobile, accepting pages that are typically enhanced to work on mobile applications, is another avenue. It really comes down to a longer-term investment horizon and believing they will be able to move around that big advertising elephant. Good value, good cash and a good balance sheet are important in this market. He is positive on this company.