RISKY

He is sort of bullish that uranium prices go higher over the next couple of years, north of $50. If you want a little more leverage and take a little more risk, this is a kind that you can get a double or triple on, when uranium prices start to move.

DON'T BUY

They haven’t cut the dividend yet, but thinks they are probably going to have to at some point. They were paying out almost 100%, even though they have some hedges on. He is not buying in this sector even though it has come down a lot.

SELL

Feels there is a lot more risk in this than there was before. Burger King bought this at a pretty high valuation and they have to be able to justify this at generating earnings off of it. There is always risk in any merger. Thinks the Burger King model did not have as much growth built in as Tim Hortons’ did.

COMMENT

There has been a massive short covering in the last several days. Has been selling into this recent bounce, as he doesn’t feel it is necessarily sustainable. It could still be retesting these bottoms.

N/A

Conventional drilling versus fracing? Fracing injects steam and chemicals into the ground, which breaks up rock in order to get oil to flow out of it. There are environmental impacts that are still being debated. Feels there is still a bit of an issue with fracing, more than there is with conventional deep drilling. He would rather own the deep drillers than the fracing companies, until some of this sorts itself out.

COMMENT

Google (GOOGL-Q) or Baytex Energy (BTE-T)? Completely different animals, but to him Google is one of the great growth stories out there. They haven’t really monetized their Android system. They own “search” on a global basis and have so much power they haven’t monetized. You are getting all of this at basically a market multiple with a great balance sheet. This would be the one that would allow him to sleep at nights over the next couple of years.

COMMENT

Google (GOOGL-Q) or Baytex Energy (BTE-T)? Completely different animals, but to him Google is one of the great growth stories out there. This one is an oversold play in the energy sector and depends on where energy settles out.

TOP PICK

He is looking for things that are more deep value oriented. This has some growth over the next couple of years, and is trading at a fairly discounted multiple. There has been some disappointment over the management shuffle and infightings over the past years, but in terms of the programs they have put in place and the spending, he can see an earnings growth over the next couple of years of 35%-40%. Also, they have great exposure to aluminum, and using this in cars is a trend going forward. Yield of 1.21%. Can see it 40%-50%-60% higher in a couple of years.

TOP PICK

When you look at what they own and what they have, this is what everybody wants to be. They want content, they want integrated content. Their acquisitions have been phenomenal. Yield of 1.24%. A multiple of 20 times, in this environment, is not expensive.

TOP PICK

Not really an airline per se, but is really a travel company. They own the hotels and the destinations. That has always been a lumpier business which has impacted the stock. They are sitting on almost as much cash per share as the current share price, so you are getting almost the operating company for free, and it is generating $100 million in operating earnings. Have done a restructuring on their transatlantic routes because they were losing money in France, but have done a lot to drop the costs there. Now they have to fix their winter destinations a little bit. Very cheap.

N/A

TSX. He has been talking about a double bottom. It is early to say, but if you look at what has happened, there was a low in October, and just over the past few days, there was a little bit of a lift. We could possibly be putting in a double bottom over the next little while, as long as the October lows hold and we could see a nice bounce. A double bottom, by definition, would be if we break the neck line at just under 15,000. If we break that, it could be quite bullish. The problem is that the main components of the TSX are energy, banks and base metals. The banks aren’t too bad, but the other 2 are not looking so great.

S&P 500 From a technical perspective, this has been and continues to be a much better place to be. You are looking at higher highs and higher lows. There is absolutely no take-out of the lows. Technical analysts also look at breadth, the number of sectors that are participating in a given rally. There has been fairly wide anticipation through this whole bull market.

Oil. Technically there was some support at $54-$55. There was a bit of a formation after we hit a bottom in 2009, where it bounced from around $37 to the $54 area. Some consolidation $54-$55 on WTI, and that is exactly where it hit recently. We need to stay above that level. The bigger trend for oil is Down, and in a bear market, there is usually a reflective bounce. He thinks that is what we are getting right now. We may get another couple of weeks of upside on oil, but his instinct is that this is in a genuine bear market. He has only one energy position in his portfolio, and will use this upside as an opportunity to get rid of it in the next 2-3 weeks.

WATCH

Probably one of the better quality metal plays. If you look at a chart on metals in general, it has been pretty soft for the last few years. This is a pretty good quality company. He would prefer to see a bounce off its support level, and then would consider owning it.

N/A

WTI Oil. Most of the commodities peaked at around 2011. From 2011 to now, the charts had formed a very large symmetrical triangle. This summer, it broke down out of that triangle. It is holding support now at around $54-$55, but after a short-term bounce, he thinks it is going to hit in the $40’s.

N/A

How do Moving Averages work? These are simply trend followers. The only thing you should use a Moving Average for is to determine if the trend is in a particular direction at this particular moment. It is not a great trading vehicle per se, so if you are trying to time your entry or exit off of a moving average, he is not so sure he would do it. He would prefer just the basic formations and use things like oscillators.

COMMENT

Had a pretty strong move this year. It looks like it is trying to test the trend line. If you were to draw a 200 day moving average, you will usually find that it will keep a certain distance off the trend. If it gets too high, 10% or more over that average, you will typically see it return to the trend line. He thinks that is all that is happening on the stock and it is not in danger, but you could see it pull back a bit more.