Keith Richards
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc
KDP-Q
COMMENT
Dec 19, 2014
Had a pretty strong move this year. It looks like it is trying to test the trend line. If you were to draw a 200 day moving average, you will usually find that it will keep a certain distance off the trend. If it gets too high, 10% or more over that average, you will typically see it return to the trend line. He thinks that is all that is happening on the stock and it is not in danger, but you could see it pull back a bit more.
KDP was a merger of Keurig and Dr. Pepper. Today, they announced mid-single-digit sales growth and high-single-digit earnings growth with $4 billion in discretionary cash flow over the next three years. They want to reward shareholders with special dividends and/or share buybacks or an acquisition. It's a safety stock that knows how to grow.
Sold it to buy Amazon but still likes KDP, which has a better long-term story than Pepsi or Coke, which trades around 23x forward PE (KDP is 19x). Likes KDP's 5% volume growth and M&A.
Had a pretty strong move this year. It looks like it is trying to test the trend line. If you were to draw a 200 day moving average, you will usually find that it will keep a certain distance off the trend. If it gets too high, 10% or more over that average, you will typically see it return to the trend line. He thinks that is all that is happening on the stock and it is not in danger, but you could see it pull back a bit more.