Buy, Sell or Hold: MEG Energy Corp (MEG-T) — Stock Predictions at Stockchase

TSE:MEG

11.38

0.34 (3.08%) 1d

Showing 1 to 15 of 86 entries

BUY

Owns it for the longevity of the assets and miss pricing. Leverage has always been a problem. Trading at 44% free cashflow yield at $70 oil. Fair multiple is 6x, which would bring free cashflow to 15%. Would get a $20 target with this. The stock could continue to work. On the cusp of return of capital.

oil / gas

BUY

How could you not like MEG? Massively de-leveraging. Will be going to the balance sheet. Next year, should return a lot of capital. 24% free cashflow at $70 oil. Could buy back all stock in a year. Inevitably will get scooped up. Expects for this to do very well. A 6x multiple would be realistic with free cashflow and asset quality. Quite bullish on the name. 8% weighting in his fund right now.

oil / gas

BUY

$70 oil prices seemed not possible last year. MEG was one of the names most leveraged to rising oil prices. The longer you hold at these levels, you will gain because the stock is catching up to the commodity price. Could continue to move higher even after this large move.

oil / gas

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick May 15/20, Up 137%) A core holding for him. Must own if you are bullish on oil. Using all free cashflow to de-lever. 2.6x debt to cashflow next year at $60 oil. Spending some money to scale production to reach critical mass. Trading at under 5x cashflow with 33% free cashflow yield. Once debt is paid down, they can start increasing dividend and buybacks. At $60 oil, target is $10.80, $70 oil would be $18.64.

oil / gas

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Apr 03/20, Up 197%) Remains a top holding. A pure play on heavy oil producer. Incredibly mispriced. It would be trading at 4.2x cashflow at $60 oil. High quality name. By next year, expects them to buy back their stock in a meaningful way. Expects to trade at $13.50 per share. Has been paying down debt aggressively. A 9% weighting for him.

oil / gas

BUY

A heavy oil pick pipelines down the coast with 66% of volumes. At $60 oil. Generates $900 million in fresh cash flow before hedges. They can delever quickly--and heavy debt has long been a knock against MEG. It trades at 4x 135% upside. He wants only oil stocks offering at least 100% upside. It's a free cash flow machine.

oil / gas

DON'T BUY

WCP-T vs. MEG-T. WCP-T is more towards the high quality side. It has performed excellently and rolled up some smaller companies. They will continue to consolidate the space and the dividend is safe. MEG-T is more leveraged to the upside. WCP-T is more of a safe haven. He prefers WCP-T.

oil / gas

BUY

A core holding if you are bullish on oil. They have been increasing takeaway capacity and global demand remains strong. They are a cashflow machine and they are able to de-lever quickly.

oil / gas

TOP PICK

They have paid down debt, but their balance sheet is not yet where investors want. Their assets were in demand from Husky. If oil prices strengthen, he does not expect this to exist for long since it is a big cashflow machine. It is hedge-fund heavy but he would buy a little if you are bullish on oil. (Analysts’ price target is $3.99)

oil / gas

BUY

A leverage play on heavy oil. It remains a core holding and he just bought another tranche yesterday. Demand for Canadian heavy oil is set to rise. The company has good capacity to bring it to the Gulf coast. The valuation is compelling with good cash flow. Oil at $50-$60 would mean this stock could double.

oil / gas

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Aug 30/19, Down 21%) He sees a supply shortage in global oil. The call on oil is only going to grow. They have 60+ years of reserves, and they are ready to go down in the Gulf Coast. Free cash generation is positive.

oil / gas

WATCH

The biggest impact is the price of crude. If we continually see it improve, then this one has significant leverage to the price of oil. If it does not, then others will outperform this one.

oil / gas

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Aug 30/19, Down 24%) Still one of only a dozen core holdings he has. They are sitting on a world-class asset. They are roughly 55% hedged on production this year at $59 oil. They really need about $44 oil to be successful. They are levered, but have refinanced and it is not due until 2024. He is a bull on oil, thinking we will get back to $50 by year end.

oil / gas

TOP PICK

3.86 They have a lot of financial leverage, but one of the best hedge books. They have 2/3 of their production going to the US Gulf Coast. This is the single best candidate for a large cap company to acquire a smaller cap like MEG. Once you get more bullish on oil prices, others will see good value. Meanwhile it is a good beta way for trading institutions to play oil. Yield 0% (Analysts’ price target is $3.86)

oil / gas

DON'T BUY

CPG-T vs. MEG-T. Oil is the most important part of the Canadian economy. He would not touch either of these stocks. Both have leverage and are in financial distress. Oil is almost trading for free. Storage is getting full. It is very costly to shut down an oil sands well, and to almost the same extent to shut down a conventional well. Companies pump the crude even if they almost give it away. Neither of these companies have downstream refineries.

oil / gas

Showing 1 to 15 of 86 entries

MEG Energy Corp(MEG-T) Rating

Ranking : 4 out of 5

Bullish - Buy Signals / Votes : 7

Neutral - Hold Signals / Votes : 0

Bearish - Sell Signals / Votes : 1

Total Signals / Votes : 8

Stockchase rating for MEG Energy Corp is calculated according to the stock experts' signals. A high score means experts mostly recommend to buy the stock while a low score means experts mostly recommend to sell the stock.

MEG Energy Corp(MEG-T) Frequently Asked Questions

What is MEG Energy Corp stock symbol?

MEG Energy Corp is a Canadian stock, trading under the symbol MEG-T on the Toronto Stock Exchange (MEG-CT). It is usually referred to as TSX:MEG or MEG-T

Is MEG Energy Corp a buy or a sell?

In the last year, 8 stock analysts published opinions about MEG-T. 7 analysts recommended to BUY the stock. 1 analyst recommended to SELL the stock. The latest stock analyst recommendation is . Read the latest stock experts' ratings for MEG Energy Corp.

Is MEG Energy Corp a good investment or a top pick?

MEG Energy Corp was recommended as a Top Pick by on . Read the latest stock experts ratings for MEG Energy Corp.

Why is MEG Energy Corp stock dropping?

Earnings reports or recent company news can cause the stock price to drop. Read stock experts’ recommendations for help on deciding if you should buy, sell or hold the stock.

Is MEG Energy Corp worth watching?

8 stock analysts on Stockchase covered MEG Energy Corp In the last year. It is a trending stock that is worth watching.

What is MEG Energy Corp stock price?

On 2021-10-20, MEG Energy Corp (MEG-T) stock closed at a price of $11.38.

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