Investment Strategy-Diversify your portfolio. Watch the proportions of your portfolio. One stock should not be more than 10% of your equity. Sell as the stock goes up to preserve your investment.
Oil-Oil will be very volatile in Sept. and Oct, but is still interesting. Predicts it could be at 65-70 a year from now. Could trade at 50.00 in the short term though.
Business Software-Believes that software growth is up. Companies are improving productivity by adding and upgrading software products. Believes it should continue for the next 6 months.
Energy: - 40% energy in the US and 42% in Canada. His model invests in mispriced assets based on balance sheets, consensus earnings and interest rates.
Interest Rates: - There has been a devaluation in all currencies around the world. His senses that interest rates will go higher and doesn't see any signs of recession. The 2nd largest economy, Japan, just go on line. There is a lot of good things going on.
Energy: - Owns no energy stocks. Global investor and is only looking for investments with the right risk component. It's not about how much you make on the upside but how much you avoid on the downside.
Portfolio Diversification: - You want exposure right across-the-board without taking large bets. He has 30 stocks in his portfolio with only a 3% rating in each and following 3 cardinal rules. 1) Rebalance when a stock exceeds 3%. 2) Dollar cost average if need be. 3) Keep the turnover below 30% to reduce trading costs.
Interest Rates: - Feels that interest rates will stay flat. If there is a slowdown in the 1.5/2% range there will be room to cut rates. Doesn't get really worried until rates go up to 9%, as that is when corporate margins start to disappear. Sees no signs of recession.
Investment Style: - Quantitative investor. Doesn't care about quality of management. Only interested in undervalued companies. Good or bad management will show up on the balance sheet.
Today's topic was "Bulls versus Bears" and guests included an analyst and a strategist. More and general discussion then selection of stocks so there are no notes for today's noon hour session.
US Recession: - Feels we are heading for a recession, or at least a deflationary period and possibly a depression, but it will be an inflationary depression in the US$ is going to collapse.