A Comment -- General Comments From an Expert (A Commentary)

DON'T BUY
Real Return Bonds: Issued by both US and Canadian governments. You are probably better to play this through a fund. With inflation set to go down even more than where we are today, these will not be big winners.
COMMENT
Citibank Canada 4.67% due Dec 28, 2010. It is not clear as to whether or not the main company CitiGroup (C-N) is going to back up that bond. There is the added risk that this is Citibank Finance Canada and not sure if this will be spun off or is the parent company will back it.
COMMENT
Canada Savings Bonds: A nice way of forced savings via payroll deductions. Very safe. AAA credit rating. Rates of return are not very high. Maturity dates are now much shorter so difficult to lock in rates.
COMMENT
Greater Toronto Airport Bonds due July 2010. One of the hot areas of the bond market right now is infrastructure. This is one of them. Always seems to be expensive to him. No problem with safety.
COMMENT
He is currently about 20% Long and about 14% Short so he has a lot of cash.
COMMENT
Options on a falling US$: Buy a Put on the US$ versus whatever currency you want to trade against. The best way to do this is through Philadelphia's (PHLX) World Currency Options. They are very easy to use.
COMMENT
Calendar Spread is a time premium collection strategy. Ideally the stock should be in a consolidation phase. You want it to be in a sideways trading pattern, not running up or running down. You also have to worry whether the stock is assignable to you because of your option come expiration.
BUY
Gold: He is very bullish on gold. Inflation will come back and this will be a hedge. Feels gold will become more and more of a currency alternative. (His approach is to split equally between iUnits Gold (XGD-T) and gold/silver bullion.)
COMMENT
Canadian $: Very bullish on the Canadian$. It's a debt to GDP story. Canada has gone into this situation well positioned.
COMMENT
Stop Losses: In this environment and given the volatility, stop losses worked like they probably never have before. Probably less effective now than they were last fall. You could lose a position that is good value but you could buy back in again.
COMMENT
Canadian Banks: Dividends are all relatively high with Bank of Montreal (BMO-T) paying the highest. His favourites are Toronto Dominion (TD-T) and Bank of Nova Scotia (BNS-T). If there was a broad nationalization of US banks and the equity went away, it might drag ours down a little.
COMMENT
The best way to invest in the BRIC (Brazil, Russia, India, China) is to do it through an index.
COMMENT
Natural Gas: Hard to believe that gas would be at $4. Fundamentals are pretty positive. One negative is a rumour that there has been a significantly large shale find in the US. Gas drawdowns have been very close to the 5-year average. Until oil prices start to firm up he doesn't think gas has got a lot of legs.
COMMENT
Canadian$: Had a roller coaster ride for the last couple of years. Canadian economy is very much connected to the US so there won't be a stronger dollar until we see some stabilization in the US. Also the dollar is influenced by commodity prices. Expects oil prices to bottom and rebound within the next few months so there will be relative strength coming to the dollar.
COMMENT
Gold: In the next 6 to 12 months believes gold will continue to climb higher because it is a hedge against the US$. However, it has had a very good run in the last little while and is expecting a correction in the near term. Would delay purchasing of gold stocks for a little while.
Showing 20,041 to 20,055 of 21,997 entries