
NYSE:XOM
A solid performer. Oil aren't getting phased out, but are cash flow juggernauts. XOM generated $17 billion of free cash in the first half of 2024 despite buying a company. Are buying back shares and pay a dividend of 3.3%. Natural gas prices are still depressed, but demand and prices will increase globally as we recover from high interest rates. Europe will buy LNG because it won't buy Russian oil.
The best of breed. Was punished years ago for getting booted out of the Dow index. They just bought Pioneer, which yes is a weight on the stock, but have enjoyed exploration success in Guyana (troubled politically) which added 11 billion barrels in reserves. They've maintained their investments while peers have not.
(Analysts’ price target is $126.39)XOM is clearly tracking the price of oil, which has been in a trading range of high-60s to high-80s. We're in a stage of curtailed production by OPEC+ and shale producers. Then, the price will rise again. Can China's demand get worse? If the US economy avoids a hard landing, then oil and XOM will pick up in price.
It is the best oil company in the world and pays a dividend so is good for the long term. Crude is not near its highs and could go to $80 or $85. The options are very cheap so he would be buying calls.