Exxon MobilXOMDON'T BUYJul 16, 2018Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 09, 2026. Market Open.
He's been a consistent bull on this one for all of 2025. Neither the upside nor the downside of Venezuela has anything to do with that. He's bullish about the O&G industry over the next 5 years generally. Best deployer of capital among the global large caps. Really, really likes it. Would absolutely invest at current levels.
Shareholder returns are a little lighter than peers. Valuation a bit higher than peers. Cashflow per share growth is in line with peers, as is the payout ratio. Balance sheet better than peers.
How many boxes does it tick? Ends up being fair. He wouldn't be buying a big oil company right now in front of the OPEC meeting.
Conventional offshore exploration has been very successful for them. If the price of oil backs off it will go back to the low $70s. The question is if they can grow the business. It is flat over 10 years. The success in Guiana is waking the company up, however.