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Walmart IncWMTTOP PICKApr 03, 2025Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Oct 16, 2026. Market Open.
WMT and COST are the dominant discount retailers in the US. They became priced for perfection, with multiples of 40-50x PE for a large, mature company. Might be a great company, but that multiple's for a younger company, growing at very high rates because it can get a lot bigger. Both are in the process of compressing to a 20x PE multiple.
Either earnings are better than expected and stock trends sideways. Or earnings are worse, and multiple goes down. Either way, not much upside.
Both great companies, but both very expensive. COST is over 50x PE, and WMT's in the 40s. Fairly low-margin model. Reliant on the consumer, and everyone's affected when that consumer is struggling.
WMT reported today. Earnings were OK, but projections on future quarters were tough. High fuel prices were highlighted.
Successful transition to e-commerce is why stock's been on fire. Topline growth is only 4-5%, and his team debates this company all the time. PE is 46x earnings for 2026, extremely expensive. Seen as a safe place to park $$ as they continue to execute.
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Walmart today is a people-led, tech-powered omnichannel retailer dedicated to helping people save money and live better. Since Sam Walton opened the first Walmart, we have opened thousands of stores across the U.S. and internationally. Around the world, customers want the same things: value, a broad assortment of quality items and services, a convenient and enjoyable shopping experience, and to do business with a company they trust. We are on a mission to meet our customers and members wherever they are, with the things they want, where and how they want them. And although the ways we deliver these experiences is changing, and changing fast, our promise to improve the customer and associate experience is constant. Social media mentions are up 188% in the past 24h.