Walgreen Boots AllianceWBATOP PICKAug 12, 2014Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Aug 27, 2025. Market Open.
It was a good quarter. But it is important to note that one quarter does not make a trend, and there is still lots of work to be done here. It is still in turnaround mode. It still has a massive amount of debt. It is cheap, though, and the quarter might see shorts start to cover a bit. So the trend will likely be 'up' and the worst 'could' be over here. But there remains plenty of risk and we would prefer to see another quarter or two of continued improvement, and even pay more once the turn is indeed fully established and on a firm foothold. Much could still go wrong here.
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They were going to complete the acquisition of Alliance Boots in Europe. Part of the rationale for that acquisition was that it would lower their overall tax rate. That didn’t happen and the stock sold off. Thinks the sell off gives a good buying opportunity. There is a really good growth profile ahead of them. You can expect 4%-5% organic growth in addition to a pretty decent dividend. A good way to play a recovery in Europe without having direct European exposure. He likes some of the US drugstore stocks in that it is also a riff on the Affordable Care Act, which requires more people to get insurance. When you have insurance, your prescriptions per capital are about twice as high as when you don’t have insurance. Yield of 2.17%.