Lorne Steinberg Walgreen Boots Alliance WBA-Q DON'T BUY Jun 27, 2024

The alliance had all this promise, and just hasn't been able to deliver. He's not brave or smart enough to pick the bottom on a stock like this. He owns Loblaw and, with it, Shopper's Drug Mart.

Problems. Avoid. Called "value", but continues to move south. Technically, 200-day MA is going lower and stock price is below that. 5x forward PE, but earnings growth is negative.

It will go down only 9 more points. The new CEO needs to invest AI, cut overhead and increase profit. 

Avoid, because of poor execution and being in a poor sector. There will be a tax on online delivery services. Too many problems.

He bought CVS instead. WBA did a big purchase of Boots which they may be regretting. WBA really operates pharmacies, plus a medical business. He prefers CVS for Aetna, their insurance business, pharmacy benefits and a medical business.

Many headwinds, too big to overcome. Sell, take the loss.

It reports Friday.  It needs to do something to help its woes. He suspect the CEO has buyers lined up for parts of the company. Don't bet against the CEO, but don't bet on WBA.

It was a good quarter. But it is important to note that one quarter does not make a trend, and there is still lots of work to be done here. It is still in turnaround mode. It still has a massive amount of debt. It is cheap, though, and the quarter might see shorts start to cover a bit. So the trend will likely be 'up' and the worst 'could' be over here. But there remains plenty of risk and we would prefer to see another quarter or two of continued improvement, and even pay more once the turn is indeed fully established and on a firm foothold. Much could still go wrong here. 
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They entered a great deal (Walgreens to be taken private by Sycamore in $10 billion). If you own shares, sell and buy Costco.

They report Tuesday. He likes their deal in which they go private. Let's see if things have gotten better or if there is buyer's remorse.