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Whistler Blackcomb HoldingsWB.TOSTRONG BUYOct 09, 2013Stock price when the opinion was issued
Their asset previously was mainly a ski operation and real estate, but more recently have gotten a very large capital program underway, to try and make it into a more all year round destination with spring, summer and fall activities. Long-term this will probably help them deal with the volatility of cash flow and dependence on weather. Dividend yield of 3.8%.
(A Top Pick May 14/15. Up 32.5%.) The Whistler Blackcomb ski resort and they own the real estate. He saw solid fundamentals for ski resorts, one of the few that was world class. Also, had an 8.5% yield which was sustainable. Still trading at a bit of a discount to US resorts, so there is still some upside, but is no longer cheap.
A ski resort with some real estate potential. Most of the real estate potential has been milked in the past. You are really betting on the weather and the US$. Pays a pretty hefty dividend, so that tends to support the valuation. He finds it very expensive for what it is. Not a lot of growth potential.
Not a cheap stock, but it has an irreplaceable asset. Also, this is a world that wants yield. They’ve had some lousy winters and an expectation is that there will be another one. In the meantime, they know how to make money. The Cdn$ is getting a lot more “destination” skiers. The only ski resort that makes money in all 4 seasons.
Whistler didn’t get a lot of snow this year, which can be a problem when running a ski lift operation. This is 2 years in a row. These are world class operators with a terrific asset. No one can predict what is going to happen with weather. Thinks earnings this year are going to be a little bit better than last year, so there is no cause for concern. The dividend is not in peril whatsoever. At anywhere under $19, he has been buying and adding. Not cheap at 27X forward earnings. 5.4% dividend yield.
Infrastructure is very important and these are long life assets. It is not snowing, so this company has a big problem. The good news is the Cdn$ is low, so that a lot of people who picked this as a destination, are still going. Hopefully the weather will turn. This is priced into the stock. He is adding more below $19.
Depends completely on weather. It has started snowing. They are looking at pushing the opening a few weeks early because of weather. There has not been a problem in 20 years in terms of weather. He would be more concerned with the economy. As it improves and as Cad$ goes down, there will be more demand. This company is like a toll road on leisure. Dividend is 7% and he sees it increasing. It is a dividend, not a REIT distribution. Thinks it will get taken out.