UnitedHealth Group IncUNHBUYNov 03, 2025Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Sep 25, 2026. Market Open.
(Note the shortish timeframe.) Bumpy road. Biggest weight on stock has been Trump administration's proposal to essentially flatten (increase of 0.1%) Medicare Advantage rates in 2027. That miniscule increase combined with medical cost inflation really puts pressure on.
Trying to prioritize margins over growth. Insurance products will be repriced next year, should see better growth in topline and bottom line.
He owns CVS instead, and a third of their business is health insurance, which 100% of UNH's business. The problem with US healthcare is all the news coming out of Washington. A lot of their business is dictated by the whims of one or two people in the U.S. Still a good business, but is a little speculative.
Pretty optimistic on it. Recent moves down have more to do with some of its competitors than UNH itself. As a whole, insurance industry not as good as it used to be. But that doesn't mean that this stock in the $300s is priced correctly for the next 5 years.
Costs have started to spike, but they have this more under control than before. Should grow earnings in high teens consistently in next 3 years. Thinks it'll get back into the $500s, but the ride has been painful.