Kim Bolton Uber UBER-N WEAK BUY May 21, 2025

They recently announced agreements with two robo taxi companies. Amazon's model is one app for everything, all sellers, and Uber could replicate this system which would be significant. Robo taxis are already running in California, Also in Austen Texas where Waymo's robo taxis have 99% more riders than cars with drivers, but at this this point there are only 100 driverless cars. There are several advantages to driverless cars including the response to calls is immediate.

The rides and Uber Eats are growing rapidly. Advertising boasts 175 million active users of the Uber app, and they can still capture more of the ad potential. Their freight division should be set aside; it's distraction. Also, their self-driving business will be exciting for Uber.

Can continue to deliver solid topline growth. Good company, though he has questions about it and is watching. Worried about robotaxis. Waymo seems to have some serious traction right now. UBER has the distribution and the software. 

The fundamentals are excellent. It will break $100 and will be up for many years.

Is very mispriced. The market feels that if Tesla succeeds in self-driving cars, it will put Uber out of business. No, won't happen. Nearly 20% of Uber's fleeting is autonomous now. Uber is outgrowing their valuation (the PE is dropping). They recently joined the S&P. They have a fantastic future.

One of the themes that will come out of today's show is that he's looking for companies that have strong and growing cashflow. This name has gone from negative cashflow to positive. Classic company for this environment, with the ability to change prices tomorrow if costs go up today.

Fits his requirements of not having a ton of debt, having pricing power, strong market position. Technically, nice consolidation over the last year and has broken out. Now a nice pullback to a really good entry point. Large-cap growth still an important engine in this market.

Will be a permanent compounder. They had a good quarter. The buyback will happen.

We continue to like UBER. It's a large name, with a decent valuation of 22.6X forward earnings, forward growth epectations are decent, and analyst estimates continue to climb higher. We like its operating leverage, and it's now profitable with good free cash flow. 

In a hypothetical scenario, where we had a US model portfolio, we could see it being in either the Balanced or Growth model portfolio, with a slight tilt towards the Balanced model portfolio.
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