Stock price when the opinion was issued
Has grown cashflows, very encouraging. Taking share from LYFT. Over several years stock's been volatile, but hasn't done that much due to looming robotaxis and autonomous vehicles. If that picks up steam, competitive dynamics change; UBER would move from handling both supply and demand, to being just one of many suppliers chasing demand.
Multiple's come down, showing good fundamentals. Watch the space. Waymo has no experience in the space, whereas Uber's really well positioned. That partnership will work well at first, but it's the future he's concerned about.
Largest ride-sharing and delivery company in the world. Great business model. His son at university uses it all the time (and Richard's paying for it). New CEO has done a spectacular job. Profits are on the rise. Ride-sharing is slightly less than 1% of all driving, massive opportunity ahead. Expanding to smaller cities. Robotaxis are in their future. No dividend.
(Analysts’ price target is $88.64)Missed 2 key metrics. Past year has been quite sideways, more of a trading stock. Above 200-day MA, but that 200-day MA has been quite flat. Forward earnings estimates have ratcheted down a bit, but you're still paying ~30x forward PE. That's problematic. 200-week MA seems to be steadily moving higher.
Longer term, will face lots of competition in the space as well as regulatory risk.
It sank 7.56% after reporting. Headwinds: robotaxi competition, Trump's close relationship with Musk/Tesla, and Uber's rideshare bookings missed in Q3-2024. Other numbers were solid: gross booking rose 18% YOY, revenue, cash flow growth and total trips all beat expectations. Their guidance for the quarter was in-line with expectations. But their Q4 GAAP operating income of $770 million badly missed the $1.19 billion estimate, but was hit by a $462 million hit from a one-time expense for legal, tax and regulatory changes. He feels that the robotaxi competition isn't that much of a threat. He won't give up on Uber.