Stock price when the opinion was issued
The rides and Uber Eats are growing rapidly. Advertising boasts 175 million active users of the Uber app, and they can still capture more of the ad potential. Their freight division should be set aside; it's distraction. Also, their self-driving business will be exciting for Uber.
One of the themes that will come out of today's show is that he's looking for companies that have strong and growing cashflow. This name has gone from negative cashflow to positive. Classic company for this environment, with the ability to change prices tomorrow if costs go up today.
Fits his requirements of not having a ton of debt, having pricing power, strong market position. Technically, nice consolidation over the last year and has broken out. Now a nice pullback to a really good entry point. Large-cap growth still an important engine in this market.
We continue to like UBER. It's a large name, with a decent valuation of 22.6X forward earnings, forward growth epectations are decent, and analyst estimates continue to climb higher. We like its operating leverage, and it's now profitable with good free cash flow.
In a hypothetical scenario, where we had a US model portfolio, we could see it being in either the Balanced or Growth model portfolio, with a slight tilt towards the Balanced model portfolio.
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It sank 7.56% after reporting. Headwinds: robotaxi competition, Trump's close relationship with Musk/Tesla, and Uber's rideshare bookings missed in Q3-2024. Other numbers were solid: gross booking rose 18% YOY, revenue, cash flow growth and total trips all beat expectations. Their guidance for the quarter was in-line with expectations. But their Q4 GAAP operating income of $770 million badly missed the $1.19 billion estimate, but was hit by a $462 million hit from a one-time expense for legal, tax and regulatory changes. He feels that the robotaxi competition isn't that much of a threat. He won't give up on Uber.