NYSE:TSM

Taiwan Semiconductor MFG. (TSM)

419.48
-0.91 (0.22%)
as of Jul 15, 2026, 8:00:00 pm Market Open.
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Investor Insights
star iconJul 15, 2026, 12:00 am

This summary was created by AI, based on 41 opinions in the last 12 months.

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. (TSM) is widely regarded as a crucial player in the semiconductor industry and central to the AI revolution. The company's dominance in advanced chip production, holding 70% market share, along with its partnerships with major customers like NVIDIA and Apple, positions it as a leading force in the sector. Despite geopolitical concerns regarding Taiwan, analysts express confidence in TSM's long-term growth potential, with many forecasting earnings growth in the high double digits. However, valuations appear mixed, with some experts suggesting it is overvalued given its current price-to-earnings ratio. Nevertheless, the company's robust demand, significant backlog, and technological leadership point to its resilience and ongoing importance in shaping the future of technology.

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Consensus
Buy
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Valuation
Fair Value
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BUY
Is the US cold war with China effecting the semi space (i.e. moving semi factories from China to US and Taiwan)? Trade relations continue to chill, yes. He'd own Lam or Taiwan Semi. The latter has seen huge lift in recent days. Lam broke out last week above previous highs and pulled back slightly, so it's a good time to add, and consistently beat estimates.
BUY ON WEAKNESS
The industry is highly cyclical but due to the money pumped into the economy by central banks, we have seen less cyclicality in this industry than in the past. This is the best game in town. However valuation is a challenge.
TOP PICK

He finally bought into this after taking profit on another holding. They are the market leading in semi-conductor boundaries. They have a 50.5% market share. They have maintained that leadership through advanced processing and scalability and that is why Apple and AMD use them. His price target is $79. Yield 2.85% (Analysts’ price target is $59.37)

BUY ON WEAKNESS
He knows the company back to early 2000. They have had a good story and it pays a dividend. This is a very mature company and an important player in the international space. Global phone providers use their technology. At the current price levels, he is a little leery. He does not see the same opportunity for smart phones in the growing Asian marketplace as consumers there will opt for lower cost, simple alternatives. He is not sure how much more upside there is left. He would like to buy it on weakness, but don't expect the same kind of growth going forward. (Analysts’ price target is $281.00)
COMMENT

It's been hurt recently. It's one of the leading assemblers of smart phones, particularly iPhones. Taiwanese stocks are affected by the downtown in the Chinese stock market, down 17-20% year to date.

DON'T BUY

TSM is on the leading edge of the semiconductor industry. They use some of the most sophisticated equipment and can offer customers excellent products. There is some concern because the visionary CEO has retired and it too soon to tell whether new management will be as visionary. Also there is concern that the tech space has run too far and may be due for a pullback.

COMMENT

A pretty cash rich company and doesn’t think they will be impacted by changes in interest rates. An extremely well-run company. Tends to be focused more on the software side than the hardware side, which is a less capital intensive industry. A reasonably priced company and a more appropriate investment if you are value oriented.

COMMENT

A manufacturer of semiconductors for other companies, specifically Qualcomm (QCOM-Q). Growth in recent years has really been driven by the increasing ubiquity of the smart phones and tablet devices. They are anticipating customers’ orders for smaller and smaller semiconductors that will be more powerful. Just won the contract for the 64-bit phone from the presumed iPhone 6 that will be coming out this fall. Near-term, there should be some margin concerns because it is such a CapX intensive business. They have to spend that CapX in the 1st 6 months to be able to enjoy the benefits of the sales in the back of the year. Views this is a core holding in technology.

BUY

They manufacture chips for other companies. Incredibly well run company. A much more volatile stock than people think, because semiconductor business is very cyclical. Not an expensive stock at these levels. This is the time in the cycle that you should buy this type of company.

HOLD

Sold half of his position around the $20 mark. Chinese market for mobile phones and smaller devices is what is really going to drive a lot of the semiconductor market moving forward. Unfortunately, phones do not require big or expensive chips like what is needed in a notebook, PC, etc. Defensive tech at the moment is not very interesting. People are looking for high levels of growth. If this dips down, you could buy it.

HOLD

This one has done very, very well. The challenge of the semiconductor market is whether or not the market is going to transition to a growth or going to go back to a defensive story. Semiconductors are coming towards the end of the cycle and 4% dividend is not really high growth. He expects there will be a rollover of technology stocks generally. Semiconductors lead the technology sector. Watch it up to the 4th quarter and see what happens.

BUY

Manufactures semiconductors for most of the companies. Have been growing their market share quite a bit.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

Sold off last Friday on the back of earnings. The concern was that there was going to be lower margins moving forward. In his view the company is still the leading player in the leading technology space for the next 2 generations so profitability will continue. Lower margin issue is just related to emerging markets. Good story. Good 4% dividend.

WAIT

Likes this but a lot of techs are ahead of themselves. Wait until the middle of the year before you start looking for tech stocks.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

Manufacturing outsourcing company and makes semiconductor chips. Has a technology lead, so every time there is a new generation, those chips come from this company. Newest generation of chips tend to have the fattest margins. Very good balance sheet. Good dividend. Thinks it is a little overdone right now and would prefer it at $16.

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