Stock price when the opinion was issued
The 2024 chart is choppy, but there have been a series of higher lows. In mid-October 2023, we started a new 3-5 cyclical bull market, into the second half of 2025 or first half of 2026, but that's where the extreme danger zone is. As we get deeper into the cycle, the economy is running on all cyclinders which is when energy and materials are bid up. He remains constructive on energy. He's also bullish on natural gas.
Just cut and paste the chart from A to B, expecting more of the same. Liked it below $60; he trims between $70-75. Thinks oil and gas prices will generally be range-bound for the next year or two, and so will this kind of stock. Well run. Buy dips, don't chase strength.
Cold winter weather has been good for nat gas prices. Wild card is AI demand -- what's the sustainable fuel that can keep data centres running 24/7? It's natural gas. Over the next few years, a fortune will be spent building data centres. Hopefully, with new administration in Canada, this name can benefit from the added infrastructure.
Earnings this week, he expects big increase to special dividend. Nice place to collect a growing income stream.
One of the premier natural gas producers. They have an excellent cost structure and a pretty good balance sheet. Recently did a pretty big acquisition from Shell. His issue is that the company is bumping up against 200,000 barrels a day. If you pick a decline rate, which he would imagine would be close to 40%, the company basically has to replace 80,000 barrels every year, either organically or through acquisitions. That becomes harder and harder for a company this size.