Stock price when the opinion was issued
His theme today is leverage, nice yield, and ability to grow cash. No debt. Trades at 2.5x EBITDA multiple, down from its historic 5x. Services are picking up. Advantaged on the gas side, purest publicly listed frack play in Canada. First Nations issues resolved. LNG Canada could mean a 10% rig pickup. Ultra-clean balance sheet. Nice yield of 1.25%.
(Analysts’ price target is $5.53)TCW has an impressive shareholder yield, with a dividend yield of 1.7%, a buyback yield of 10.8%, and a debt paydown yield of 3.4%. The company is a $971M company with a forward earnings multiple of 8.1X, a low debt profile, growing margins, and great free cash flows, but it does operate in a cyclical industry. Although the company's balance sheet has shrunk since 2018, its share count has also diminished significantly since that timeframe. If an investor has an optimistic outlook on the price of oil and the energy market, we would feel comfortable with the solid execution and fundamentals of this company.
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Ask yourself what the opportunity is. We've seen a real change in the oilfields over the last decade. Instead of growth at all costs, companies have decided to get balance sheets in order and pay back capital to shareholders. So this name has fewer opportunities. That said, LNG Canada will be a continued source of new production.
Made an acquisition, and stock popped, so the market likes it.
100% Canadian name. Trading at 2.9 times EBITDA. Trading at 20% free cash flow yield. 80% of their business is based off of strong WTI pricing on condensate. Difficult to explain when shares are down 30%. (Analysts’ price target is $6.40)