Stockchase Opinions

Dennis da Silva Trican Well Service Ltd. TCW-T BUY Oct 01, 2025

Record high today.

Only Canadian, pure-play, frack services provider. Leans toward the gas side. Leveraged to increases in Canadian drilling, which drives margins. Next-generation, low-emission fleets attracts a certain type of (large) customer. Key beneficiary of LNG Canada ramping up.

Nice, disciplined approach. Lower capex needs. Very strong FCF. Trading below historic norm. Should benefit from stronger gas prices.

$6.360

Stock price when the opinion was issued

oil gas field services
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COMMENT

It provides energy services in Alberta as well as some in the U.S. He doesn't own energy services or exploration companies. Sticks to pipelines.This type of company does well when the sector does well.

BUY
Trevor Rose’s Insights - Trevor’s most-liked answers from 5i Research

TCW has an impressive shareholder yield, with a dividend yield of 1.7%, a buyback yield of 10.8%, and a debt paydown yield of 3.4%. The company is a $971M company with a forward earnings multiple of 8.1X, a low debt profile, growing margins, and great free cash flows, but it does operate in a cyclical industry. Although the company's balance sheet has shrunk since 2018, its share count has also diminished significantly since that timeframe. If an investor has an optimistic outlook on the price of oil and the energy market, we would feel comfortable with the solid execution and fundamentals of this company. 
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RISKY

Good for long term investors at 5-10 years.
Energy services a volatile sector.
Is good for risk adverse investors.
Cash balance very strong. 
Demand for drilling is high given strength in energy prices.

BUY

Cheap at 8x earnings, 3.3% dividend yield. Clean balance sheet. Has done well in the last year. Even if activity remains flat, probably going higher because of the price of oil.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Apr 26/23, Up 48%)

Outlook quite strong in terms of well servicing, you can go back in and re-frack to improve productivity. Nice, strong upward bias to fracking services and intensity of services. Nice yield.

PARTIAL BUY

Sees a 12% free cash flow yield, but isn't the confident about it. Likes them buying back shares and long-term companies will ramp up well drilling. Are debt free and doing all the right things. But one of their competitors (a doh-doh head) cut prices to win a job.

HOLD

Has held up well at 8x PE, even with nat gas prices low. Pristine balance sheet, using it to invest in equipment that reduces carbon footprint, which gives it a marketing advantage. One of the more volatile among the service companies. Yield is 3-4%.

WATCH

High beta service name, so can be volatile on a tweet. CEO is honourable, respected, and a good operator. Healthy stock buybacks have supported the stock. Net cash lets them survive anything. May see weakness in FCF. He's cautious on the services sector, owns none right now.

BUY
100% up. Sell?

Ask yourself what the opportunity is. We've seen a real change in the oilfields over the last decade. Instead of growth at all costs, companies have decided to get balance sheets in order and pay back capital to shareholders. So this name has fewer opportunities. That said, LNG Canada will be a continued source of new production. 

Made an acquisition, and stock popped, so the market likes it.