Stock price when the opinion was issued
His theme today is leverage, nice yield, and ability to grow cash. No debt. Trades at 2.5x EBITDA multiple, down from its historic 5x. Services are picking up. Advantaged on the gas side, purest publicly listed frack play in Canada. First Nations issues resolved. LNG Canada could mean a 10% rig pickup. Ultra-clean balance sheet. Nice yield of 1.25%.
(Analysts’ price target is $5.53)TCW has an impressive shareholder yield, with a dividend yield of 1.7%, a buyback yield of 10.8%, and a debt paydown yield of 3.4%. The company is a $971M company with a forward earnings multiple of 8.1X, a low debt profile, growing margins, and great free cash flows, but it does operate in a cyclical industry. Although the company's balance sheet has shrunk since 2018, its share count has also diminished significantly since that timeframe. If an investor has an optimistic outlook on the price of oil and the energy market, we would feel comfortable with the solid execution and fundamentals of this company.
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He likes the service sector, but if he is right and the price of oil is going down below $40, these stocks get hurt more. They are high beta securities. This company has a nice investment in Kean, the US assets, which almost equals the amount of debt they have. At the end of Q1, BV was $2.62. Feels this is going to be very attractive in the next cycle. Feels the stock could come down below $2.