SnowflakeSNOWRISKYMar 06, 2024Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Aug 07, 2026. Market Open.
(The theme of today's Top Picks is cybersecurity, which is going to be a big deal. All the AI systems will have to be made more secure. Each of today's picks has already had a good run.)
Security for the cloud as customers build, use, and share data there. A bit pricey. Don't buy it all today, you have to tier in your position by thirds. Buy a bit here, more at $250, and finally around $240. His 12-month price target is $294. No dividend.
Enables organizations to consolidate data into a single source, and allows other applications to work better together. Short runway to price target. Next earnings not until August 26. Sell some calls; if you don't want to get called away, just roll the strike price up.
Nice moat, not a heck of a lot of competition. Makes so much sense, enterprise (not consumer) software. But the nosebleed territory causes some angst.
Key player within cloud and data centres. Cloud-based data storage with analytic solutions on top. Like a DDOG, but allows companies to manoeuvre more efficiently through the cloud. Owns it, but it's rich. His price target is ~$260-270.
He'd buy in around $246 and definitely just in front of $231-233. Your final third would be ~$215-220, at which point he'd absolutely recommend.
NOW has been under tremendous pressure after the recent earnings release due to a combination of CEO replacement (effective immediately) and weak forward guidance, SNOW is now expected to grow by more than 20% over the next few years.
Despite EBIT loss (largely due to stock-based compensation), SNOW generates healthy cash flow, on the trailing twelve-month basis, they actually repurchased shares quite meaningfully to offset SBC. Valuation is not cheap, trading at 20x Price/Sales. We think SNOW’s business model is solid, but would not be in a hurry to add here given the uncertainty in the forecast and management.
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