Stockchase Opinions

Keith Richards Sirius XM Holdings Inc. SIRI-Q BUY May 03, 2013

Classic take-a-pause-in-an-uptrend. Is in a breakout. Another great sign for the stock. It broke out of a little down flag, which is the sign of a bull market.

$3.355

Stock price when the opinion was issued

Broadcasting
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WEAK BUY

After merger of Serius and XM there were cost cutting opportunities. They have a fair bit of financial leverage. He owns XSR-T which he prefers to the parent.

SELL

This looks like one of those stocks that may have rolled over. It definitively broke its trend. He would be bearish on this.

COMMENT

Chart shows a long uptrend from mid-2012 but the uptrend was broken in the latter part of 2013. Currently in the short term downtrend, however it may be trying to consolidate. This could take a while and if you are not getting much of a dividend, it can be a very long excruciating, painful ride just to own it.

DON'T BUY

Doesn’t like the look of the overall chart. The chart shows this has had higher highs and higher lows from mid-2012 until the latter part of 2013. That series was broken and there was a little bit of a topping formation with a neck line at around $3.50. That neck line has been broken. If you own, look for any kind of a rally to get out.

COMMENT

Has always really liked this, much more than the Canadian version, because they have the ability to bring in data. The re-subscribe rate is very strong. This has been vacillating between $3 and $4 for a very long time. It makes a lot of sense. The question is how long it will remain an independent operation.

DON'T BUY

It's no longer the stock he knew. It's become a play on used cars and that's not enough.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

Has owned shares in the past, but has since sold. Seeing value as the share price drops. Is a quality business with low capital requirements. Would buy at lower price. 

RISKY

Very volatile and would buy only on weakness. Now we're seeing capitulation selling. He's been accumulating it under $3 under the old price scheme. We could see more pressure.

WATCH

A lot of US media stocks have struggled over the past year. In the last little while, looks as though they've started to bottom out and stabilize. Still in a primary downtrend, but may be starting to build a floor. Might take a bit longer. Want to see it breaking out around $35-36, or at least above $30 to verify that it has some oomph behind it.

DON'T BUY

Doesn't care that shares are down. The numbers aren't there.