Stock price when the opinion was issued
It is certainly not beyond possibility. Bloomberg default ratio is 7.36%, which is very high for that indicator. Cash flow was negative in the last quarter, yet 12-month interest expenses were $36.1M net. With its small size and Cuban and other issues, we are not sure it could raise a lot of money with a dilutive equity issue. Most debt matures in 2026. Certainly any investment here needs to be considered extremely risky.
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He has followed this stock for years. On the good side, it has reduced its debt load. He doesn’t have a lot of belief in the management. They are working on a product that will make it possible to move more oil in a pipeline, but he is not confident that the management will exploit this successfully.