Opinions
David Cockfield
Sherritt International Corp.
S-T
WATCH
Dec 12, 2013
$3.070
Stock price when the opinion was issued
integrated mines
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DON'T BUY
This is a zero, although not priced there yet. That is where it is going. It has been a lousy company for a long time. Madagascar will prove to be their undoing. They defaulted on their debt in February. Their debt is currently worth 54 cents on the dollar so the stock is worth zero.
integrated mines
RISKY
Trevor Rose’s Insights - Trevor’s most-liked answers from 5i Research
It is certainly not beyond possibility. Bloomberg default ratio is 7.36%, which is very high for that indicator. Cash flow was negative in the last quarter, yet 12-month interest expenses were $36.1M net. With its small size and Cuban and other issues, we are not sure it could raise a lot of money with a dilutive equity issue. Most debt matures in 2026. Certainly any investment here needs to be considered extremely risky.
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integrated mines
Has been hitting new lows, partially due to tax loss selling. The big problem was when they went into the Madagascar project. Politics there are a little bit turbulent. There are a number of environmental issues and the press has not been good to them. The project has reached the point where it looks like it is going to be producing some reasonable cash flow, however, metal markets are not nearly as good as they were when they started the project. Their coal and Cuban assets are still quite good. After all the tax loss selling is done, we may see the stock turn up.