Ravi SoodRetirement Residences REITRRR.UN.TOCOMMENTMay 26, 2006
Been a complete mess lately. Up for sale and a potential bidder, Chartwell, dropped out. That took the stock down. Thinks it will get sold for a higher price than what it is trading at, maybe $9.50.
Sold this trust at $10.00 many months ago. If you own recommends selling half of shares at around $8.00. It is best to take a little bit off the table just in case it goes down to $6.50-7.00. Believes that there are better REITS out there.
Paul Reichmann plans to join the bidding for this company. Feels there will be more bids. At anything below $7.50, the risk/reward is very good and you should be buying.
Has been forced into putting itself up for sale. They have been notorious over payers. If a buyer does not materialise, there will probably be a distribution cut.
Payout ratio, based on Adjusted Funds From Operations, is well in excess of 100%. Have put themselves up for sale. Chartwell (CSH.UN-T) are dropping out of the bidding process. Concerned about their continuing distribution.
Three main retirement REITs that he owns are Sunrise Senior Living (SZR.UN-T), Chartwell Seniors Housing (CSH.UN-T) and Retirement Residences (RRR.UN-T). Chartwell would be his top pick. This one is going through a takeover process. Has underperformed.
Basically nursing and retirement homes. They have an occupancy rate of about 82% in Ontario. Their debt to asset ratio is around 75% which is getting problematic.
(A Top Pick Dec 7/05. Up 5%.) Actually hit more than $10 and then pulled back. Still likes it and their properties and feels their distribution is sustainable.
Retirement Residence REIT earnings have not been great. The whole market is pricey. RRR is gradually improving and they are buying other assets. They have capital. They are developing some new retirement homes. Buyer beware again but believes they will do well and are showing lots of life. Buying in the 8's.