Pembina Pipeline CorpPPL.TOBUYJul 30, 2024Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jul 21, 2026. Market Open.
Both benefit from AI centre demand. Pembina is building a 1.8 gigawatt natural gas plant in Alberta. Half of ALA's business is in the US, regulated utilities, in Virginia--the world capital of data centre traffic. ALA also has activity in Western Canada. ALA's growth rate is higher than Pembina. ALA gets the slight edge.
APO has pretty smart people, and they're seeing an opportunity here. Purchase was from KKR, so nothing much changes.
As for PPL itself, trading a bit expensive with growth catalysts of 5-7%. Nice, visible project backlog. Nice dividend. Wouldn't add here, but you'll do OK if you own it.
Still thinks KEY is the better buy.
Politics is a terrible way to invest. Freehold will probably do well because of government environmental incentives and the ESG trend. Pembina will do better if the Republicans win in the US or the Tories in Canada. There will still be a need for pipelines; green energy won't do the trick.