Stockchase Opinions

Bruce MurrayPembina Pipeline CorpPPL.TOCOMMENTMay 13, 2016

The whole energy sector is very similar to what happened in 1979. Given the nature of commodities you get an expansion that starts, and then has to continue because the price of commodities gets so high that it doesn’t make sense not to invest and move the stuff. There was a collapse in 1980 and oil bottomed in 1998, 18 years later. China has just finished industrializing and they are now slowing. Commodities are going to be struggling for the long-term, but it doesn’t mean you can’t make money. Has stayed away from the entire energy sector, with the exception of the pipelines. This is probably a decent stock, but you are probably better off moving into Amazon, Alphabet or Microsoft, where you will make more money in the next 5 years. (See Top Picks.)

$37.10

Stock price when the opinion was issued

$68.13

As of Aug 12, 2026. Market Open.

pipelines
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TOP PICK

Pays a 4.5% dividend. Good backlog so can increase cash flows and dividends for the next few years. Will benefit if a new LNG pipeline is built out west.

(Analysts’ price target is $72.67)
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Sep 03/25, Up 34%)

Still loves it (though not at these valuations ;)  Growth is on track, and getting paid in the meantime. What's not to like?

BUY ON WEAKNESS

He doesn't own any of the pure-play oil producers right now (though he does own TOU). The reason is the volatility we're seeing. 

His team plays energy these days by owning ENB, and some of the smaller midstream companies like PPL and GEI. He likes their stability. 

HOLD

Obviously executing. Data centre deals. Likes it, but it's had a really big run. Not much earnings growth right now relative to peers. He wouldn't buy more right now.

HOLD

A name for a good dividend and safety. Pipelines are not quite as good as utilities, because they're perceived as being commodity-sensitive (even though they're really not). 

You'll get your dividend, and the safety means you can sleep at night (and that's worth something). You can get diversification via funds and ETFs.

BUY

It broke out early this year and the move since has been sort of parabolic. A pullback is possible.

HOLD

Are more aggressive than Enbridge in their backlog, a good thing. The Basin is well-positioned.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

Nice yield, and more growth projects.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

Owns in his firm's high-yield growth fund. Very well positioned, especially after today's government announcement about a Western pipeline -- Pembina gets a slice of that.

BUY

Western Canada has many opportunities for more production and PPL is in the middle of that. Is a decent long-term gold with a good dividend.

WEAK BUY
vs. Altagas

Both benefit from AI centre demand. Pembina is building a 1.8 gigawatt natural gas plant in Alberta. Half of ALA's business is in the US, regulated utilities, in Virginia--the world capital of data centre traffic. ALA also has activity in Western Canada. ALA's growth rate is higher than Pembina. ALA gets the slight edge.

BUY

All energy stocks have come off because we've had (cynically) a "peace scare" in the Middle East. Energy sector will continue to be robust.

Also likes, and owns, TOU.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jul 24/25, Up 36%)

A defensive holding. Surprised by how well the pipeline stocks have done. War has definitely had an impact on energy infrastructure. Still a standout to grow, with lower valuation and excess capital.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jun 23/25, Up 31%)

Pipelines and utilities have soared, because of energy demand from data centres. PPL is quality with a healthy balance sheet and growth outlook. Most of their projects are already sanctioned. 

BUY

Their PE is lower than TC and ENB. Better scale and diversification from all peers.