Opinions Bruce Murray
Pembina Pipeline CorpPPL.TOCOMMENTMay 13, 2016
Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Oct 01, 2026. Market Open.
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Exposure to the 4 horsemen of Western Canadian growth: gas, LNG, condensate, and crude. Partnership with META. Heartland Extraction Plant should see more volumes. Leverage to the pipeline going west out of Alberta. Exposure to Cedar LNG facility under construction.
Low double-digit internal growth, plus dividend yield, gives you ~15% annual compound return. Yield is 4.65%.
Dennis Mitchell, CFA
They will benefit from the long-term investments that Canadian government is making in Western Canada, like growing oil and natural gas production (LNG Canada). They have a good track record of completing projects on time and on budget. Always a good dividend payer, now at 4.5%. The midstreams are a safe way to play ongoing production in Western Canada.
It has support, so is good to buy now. All pipelines look good. Natural gas prices will play catch-up.
(Analysts’ price target is $73.18)
Keith RichardsThere are some overhangs on deals with KKR and Apollo but it is well run and has the best growth prospects of similar companies. The coming increase of LNG is good for Pembina as the Canadian infrastructure gets larger. Even at higher prices today it is showing strength.
Ryan BushellPays a 4.5% dividend. Good backlog so can increase cash flows and dividends for the next few years. Will benefit if a new LNG pipeline is built out west.
(Analysts’ price target is $72.67)
Christine PooleStill loves it (though not at these valuations ;) Growth is on track, and getting paid in the meantime. What's not to like?
Rebecca TeltscherHe doesn't own any of the pure-play oil producers right now (though he does own TOU). The reason is the volatility we're seeing.
His team plays energy these days by owning ENB, and some of the smaller midstream companies like PPL and GEI. He likes their stability.
Andrew Pink
A name for a good dividend and safety. Pipelines are not quite as good as utilities, because they're perceived as being commodity-sensitive (even though they're really not).
You'll get your dividend, and the safety means you can sleep at night (and that's worth something). You can get diversification via funds and ETFs.
Western Canada has many opportunities for more production and PPL is in the middle of that. Is a decent long-term gold with a good dividend.
Bruce Murray
The whole energy sector is very similar to what happened in 1979. Given the nature of commodities you get an expansion that starts, and then has to continue because the price of commodities gets so high that it doesn’t make sense not to invest and move the stuff. There was a collapse in 1980 and oil bottomed in 1998, 18 years later. China has just finished industrializing and they are now slowing. Commodities are going to be struggling for the long-term, but it doesn’t mean you can’t make money. Has stayed away from the entire energy sector, with the exception of the pipelines. This is probably a decent stock, but you are probably better off moving into Amazon, Alphabet or Microsoft, where you will make more money in the next 5 years. (See Top Picks.)