Stockchase Opinions

Stan Wong Palantir Technologies PLTR-Q SELL May 07, 2025

Quite the high flyer. Valuation of 177x forward PE keeps him at bay. EPS forecast growth rate ~31%. Priced for perfection. Decent numbers at last report, guided higher, yet shares fell -- sign that investors are looking for results beyond perfection. Near all-time highs. Heavy reliance on large government contracts.

$110.480

Stock price when the opinion was issued

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DON'T BUY

Previous high flyer, down 33% from recent highs. High beta and stretched valuation. 152x (yes, that's right) forward PE for 31% growth. Attracts a certain aura given that it's in AI and defense with inelastic demand.

BUY

Defence shouldn't be working, given the pullback from Ukraine, but maybe we are building up as tensions rise with China. Prefers PLTR in this space, perhaps the #1 meme stock with a CEO who whips people into a frenzy.

TRADE

King of the hill in data analytics solutions, especially in AI agents. Likes it for trading options around. On Monday and Tuesday, he sold some puts tiered just under the strike price. He's looking to pick it up at a good price. If it does go lower, you can sell some calls on top of it. 

Has enough volatility that you can trade it. It is investable, too, but in the Trump era you need a stronger stomach.

DON'T BUY

Loves it. Cutting edge and a leader in the defence space. But the valuation is too high (192x forward PE). He's been watching it a long time. He missed this completely.

DON'T BUY

Yes, their fundamentals are great, but the valuation is too high. Maybe will enter on a pullback.

BUY

He just bought it, even though its valuation is very high (192x forward PE). Earnings were fantastic. He likes what they're doing in the commercial side, up 70% YOY, and not just relying on government contracts. They have to grow into their high multiple and it is volatile.

RISKY

Well-run, and produces superior technology that pays for itself almost immediately. They have a strong defence business. Growth and margins are expanding. But shares trade at 220x earnings--ridiculously expensive. But traders don't care. PLTR is the most successful speculative stock. He targets $200, seriously. Take profits before you get hurt, because someone always does in a spec stock.

RISKY

Well-run, and produces superior technology that pays for itself almost immediately. They have a strong defence business. Growth and margins are expanding. But shares trade at 220x earnings--ridiculously expensive. But traders don't care. PLTR is the most successful speculative stock. He targets $200, seriously. Take profits before you get hurt, because someone always does in a spec stock.

RISKY

One of his most tech-savvy friends described PLTR to him: consulting with AI. Often takes data from multiple, disparate sources, pulls it together, and lets the analytics take over. Very cool YouTube videos :) 

There is no fundamental grounding for this stock whatsoever. It's a story stock, a cult stock. There are no valuation parameters to make sense of what you're paying for it. Astronomically expensive.