Precision Drilling (PD.TO) Buy, Sell or Hold

Precision Drilling (PD.TO)

120.68

+1.94 (1.63%)

as of Oct 2, 2026, 8:00:00 pm Market Open.

186 watching

TOP PICK

For his bullish natural gas outlook. 23% free cashflow yield, slightly more bullish next year at 28%. Pledged to return 35% of that to shareholders. He targets 116% upside from here. No dividend.

(Analysts’ price target is $127.27)

DON'T BUY

Large contract drilling company in Canada & USA. Very risky name that is volatile. Directly tied to outcome of energy business. Day rates (salary expenses) can swing wildly. Very inexpensive stock, but hard to determine outcome of business (profits etc.)

TOP PICK

He prefers drilling to pumping because the former has far fewer competitors and pricing has been firm amid weak nat gas prices. The Canadian market is much stronger than the U.S. It boasts 31% free cash flow yield in 2025, and they will return 30-40% of that. Will hit their debt targets. he owns nearly 10% of the company. The outlook for LNG is positive. He sees 137% upside.

(Analysts’ price target is $124.11)

TOP PICK

Ridiculously cheap. Investors don't realize how much debt they have paid down. Much upside ahead. 26% free cash flow yield then 30% this and next year. They will return 30-40% of that cash flow to investors, but will tell them it should be 50%. It trades at a discount to US peers. has 100% upside.

(Analysts’ price target is $123.39)

TOP PICK

At an extremely attractive level. Focused on maximizing free cashflow and de-leveraging. Anticipates it meeting an inflection point of moving from using money to de-lever to using it to reward shareholders, by Q2 of next year.

A non-depleting business, low-maintenance assets. Backdrop of LNG Canada, replenishing inventory, good macro headwinds. His numbers show 34% free cashflow yield next year, 36% the year after. His target is $177. No dividend.

(Analysts’ price target is $132.72)

DON'T BUY

Energy is very cyclical. This will lose money when the economy is on the downturn. That happened a few years ago. Unless you are optimistic about oil prices, don't build a position.

COMMENT

In drilling services like SLB and Haliburton - a cyclical business. Buy only when out of favour.

HOLD

Short? Reticent to short. Past year has seen demand for drilling and day rates go up, and this should persist for a while. Good performer. Content to hold.

BUY

Service company in energy in Canada. Big player in US and Canada. Looks very attractive as a play on energy pickup. In the drilling business for precious metals, and increasingly base metals like copper.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Aug 10/20, Down 0.19%) Resurgence in energy industry after pandemic has created bull energy market. Will continue to hold shares, as believes company will benefit from increase activity in energy market. Strong company that is well managed. Good balance sheet.

COMMENT

Would purchase TCW than PD. Owns neither. The collapse on oil price will impair spending further than maintenance capital. There is always a bad actor that ruins the pricing power. Would prefer the producers.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Oct 16/20, Up 180%) Historically, service stocks were the high beta stocks but in this cycle, production needs to be kept flat. We will see some service cost inflation next year. We might not see growth in cap-ex though.

PARTIAL BUY

We are on a different cycle than in the past. The business model has shifted which is now positive for oil macro. Oil production growth is no longer elastic to rising oil prices. They are now taking free cashflow and companies are now buying back stocks. There is an opportunity for a rerate. Owned it post-consolidation. Fair value is in the $40s. Does not think the oil company will run out and drill again.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Feb 12/20, Down 9%) He used to own 5% of the company and made a 40% profit in a few months--but he sold it way too early. Give this lesson, now he'd rather sit on oil names and ride it out, or else he'll miss the upside. Companies like this won't spend as much capex even with the oil price rise. You can do better elsewhere.

TOP PICK

The biggest land driller in Canada and one of the largest in North America. They still generated free cashflow even during challenging times. At $50 oil, they can generate free cashflow equivalent to their market cap if producers drill to maintain production. Downside is limited since they generated free cash this year still. (Analysts’ price target is $1.22)

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Precision Drilling (PD.TO)