Petro-Canada (PCA.TO) Buy, Sell or Hold

Petro-Canada (PCA.TO)

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WATCH

This is one of the best in its area worldwide. It may have bottomed out here as it’s holding its ground at around $52 since July. A good sign for the long term but it remains closer to its low since July. Be ready for it when it starts to run higher.

TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Dec 26/06. Up 8.8%.) Currently at a price that it always retreats to. If you Buy it here and hold it for a year, (no valuation change, just a growth in the balance sheet) it’ll be $61.25, an implied rate of return of 18.5%. Model price is $72.88, a 42% upside.

DON'T BUY

One of the top oil/gas stocks. The issue with oil and gas is the US$. The price of oil has come off when the dollar rallied. It makes any resource stock a tough go here. Would stay away from this group right now.

BUY

Everything has been negative about this stock for so long that it is perceived as a value play on the street but it has started to meet and exceed production goals. Inexpensive.

BUY

Very positive long-term on this one. Has been undervalued for a long time, compared to most of the majors around the world. Part of that is used to them missing street expectations. Their downstream operations have become far more profitable than it used to be. Likes their diversification out of Canada.

TOP PICK

Has a lot of international scope. Good production profile increase over the next 2 years. Expects to see cash flows in the range of $10 plus over the next couple of years. Very inexpensive. Well balanced between upstream and downstream.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Dec 21/06. Up 14.1%.) His model price is $79.66, a 46% positive differential. Still a Buy.

TOP PICK

One of biggest holdings in the energy sector. Well managed company. Deploys its capital well. Will be cash flowing in excess of $10/share. Production profile is going up next year. Good longer term. Good opportunity going forward. Paying just over 2 times book value for it.

WEAK BUY

Good name, not the best operated company. Cheapest integrated company in North America. Bringing on some new projects. Like the company, you could make some money, strong oil price outlook.

STRONG BUY

They like it. There is strong indication that down stream margins are going to be weak this quarter. Very high oil prices are not making it down to the pumps (gasoline). Thinks it's excellent value at this price. Has great assets.

BUY

He views it as the world's cheapest multi-national integration oil company. It is a large player in natural gas. He is very positive on it. It has lots of production in different areas.

WAIT

Might as well wait and see what the Alberta government does with the Royalty regime. Likes it long term, but short term wait. Dividend is .97 %

WAIT

Good performer on a relative basis over the last 12 months. Wait for the new royalty regime to come down before buying.

BUY

Had a few false starts in the past in terms of their growth plans. Last quarter was pretty promising. At this level, it is looking pretty good.

BUY

He has a model price of $78.50, which is a 46% positive differential. He would love to see the stock back at $50.90, which would be a great entry.

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Petro-Canada (PCA.TO)