Stan WongO'Reilly Automotive IncORLYTOP PICKJan 11, 2024

This and AutoZone have emerged as a strong duopoly in car retail. Once the auto tariffs kick in, these stocks will thrive--new cars will become expensive, so people will need car parts to maintain their existing cars. The company has bought back a ton of shares, shrinking the share count by 65% since 2010.

Used cars should do well after all these tariffs, which will make new cars more expensive and used ones (and repairs on existing cars) more attractive. Has a great record outperforming the S&P, a beautiful chart. Their last quarter was mixed, though fine to him. ORLY had a big same-store sales beat and smaller total revenue beat. Earnings were a little light, and the full-year forecast disappointed, but they always lowball guidance. Despite the huge sell-off this week, this stock is still up for the year.

With the exchange rate, the return is actually higher for Canadian investors. PEG ratio got expensive for him, he sold. Trades at 27x PE, with 9-10% growth rate. Likes it long term. Opening new locations in US and Mexico. 200-day and 200-week MAs moving higher.

Generally, retail is a tough industry. Wary of retail that's not specialty. Look at HD and ORLY, which are specialty retail, but wait for a pullback.

A defensive grower in the consumer space. Has taken some profits because its at all-time highs.

It's outperformed the market the past year and has had a good run. People were driving more, but maybe that's played out. has just trimmed it. Still likes it.

Had announced consumer trends were not what they had expected them to be, and the stock got punished 20% in one day with some follow through. They’ve had consistent buybacks instead of dividends. You are going to have to wait for a long time for it to recover, because there are many people in the name who are waiting to get their money back. Every time it creeps up a little more, it will hit more Selling.