Rob Sechan, Managing Partner, New Edge Capital O'Reilly Automotive Inc ORLY-Q PARTIAL SELL Mar 15, 2024

Had announced consumer trends were not what they had expected them to be, and the stock got punished 20% in one day with some follow through. They’ve had consistent buybacks instead of dividends. You are going to have to wait for a long time for it to recover, because there are many people in the name who are waiting to get their money back. Every time it creeps up a little more, it will hit more Selling.

It's outperformed the market the past year and has had a good run. People were driving more, but maybe that's played out. has just trimmed it. Still likes it.

Largest in its space. $17B USD forecast 2024 revenue. Grew revenue last 5 years by 10.5%. Long-term tailwinds, as growing need for maintenance and repairs due to aging US automotive fleet. With an eye to interest rates and the economy, people have been holding onto their cars for longer. Resilient business. Increased share buybacks. He expects 12% EPS growth rate for next few years. No dividend.

Generally, retail is a tough industry. Wary of retail that's not specialty. Look at HD and ORLY, which are specialty retail, but wait for a pullback.

With the exchange rate, the return is actually higher for Canadian investors. PEG ratio got expensive for him, he sold. Trades at 27x PE, with 9-10% growth rate. Likes it long term. Opening new locations in US and Mexico. 200-day and 200-week MAs moving higher.