Nike IncNKEDON'T BUYDec 19, 2025Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Sep 25, 2026. Market Open.
Several levels of trouble. He added recently ~$45. Not looking for homeruns. Potential for it to get back up to mid-upper $50s is realistic. Still very expensive at 30x forward PE. Unless they can figure out the China headwinds, it will struggle. Every time it rallies, it's likely to a lower high. Selloffs will be to lower lows.
Growth story for decades, but now a mature clothing company. A trade, not an investment.
He had bought NKE as a turnaround story, which didn't really play out so he exited. Both are retail turnarounds with very strong brands. Logistically, it's very hard to turn around a brand and rejig the supply chain. These turnarounds take longer, with significantly more risk. (Compare that to a TD, which just had to cope with the one-time charge of a financial penalty.)
For NKE, with growing anti-American sentiment it could be hard to turn things around. LULU could, sometime, be a takeout target by private equity or another retailer. But that's not a reason to buy, especially when earnings and cashflow are still declining.
Has had 4 straight down years. It's historic how managers have destroyed this company. You can't fix it. The new NBA stars don't sell running shoes, which is another problem.