Netflix Inc.NFLXCOMMENTSep 09, 2015Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Oct 21, 2026. Market Open.
He bought more, though it's a small position, because it traded down on a downgrade--but this was piling onto a stock that already had a tough time. He thinks for a trade, this will bounce. He though their last quarter was good, though the market didn't. With everybody so negative on Netflix, he thinks the bad news is already baked in.
He's buying more shares. Investors worry NFLX is losing share to YouTube and TokTok, while Paramount and Warners will likely merge. But NFLX still has the largest user base in the world and they make the most money per engagement. This allows them to add more content than their peers. They still grow revenues and profits. Still likes it.
(Note the short timeframe.) The market loved it for a while after the abandoned WBD deal. Then market started to focus on competition. But people aren't cancelling subscriptions; in fact, just the opposite. Trades at 20x 2027 PE for double-digit growth, terrific balance sheet. Boundless opportunities, sees so much upside.
These types of companies are all at his EVB10. Even in the tech bubble back in 2000, there were only 1 or 2 companies that were EVB10. This is expensive. Expect volatility. This next quarter, if they have good earnings, it will maintain its EVB10, but you are playing with fire with quite a few of these companies. They cannot sustain their valuations at these high levels.