Netflix Inc.NFLXCOMMENTApr 09, 2015Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Nov 11, 2026. Market Open.
Streaming industry has become much more competitive. Difficulty maintaining a consistent, ongoing subscriber base (rather than intermittent), which also affects advertiser interest. Wait to see action on this issue before committing more $$.
Disclaimer: Not owned in segregated client accounts. However, her colleague John O'Connell owns it in the equity fund that he manages.
It's had a rough year, following the failed Warners bid. He still likes it, because the business is performing quite well. They have more subscribers and revenues outside the U.S. where they have little competition and are growing rapidly. Also, they replaced the head of content, and are looking to ad sports. Lots of ways to improve growth ahead.
(Analysts’ price target is $86.35)The fundamentals are as good or better as people have hoped. But there are worries that people are watching YouTube and no longer Netflix, but this is not in the numbers. These things reverse very quickly. Look at Google's stock. He thinks Netflix will grow at double digits for many years.
A great service and a great company, but a lot of times you have to separate the stock from the company and the business itself. There are a lot of exciting things happening with this. Global expansion where they could possibly reach 200 countries by next year. But looking at some of the negatives, there is lots of competition coming on board. This is trading at 100X trailing PE, 84X forward PE over the next 12 months. Growth rate is still pretty attractive at 35%, but you are paying quite a bit for that.