Microsoft CorpMSFTTOP PICKDec 13, 2016Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Nov 06, 2026. Market Open.
It's one of the five biggest spenders in capex on data centres. If was the only to say it would trim spending. It had the best report of the three megacaps that reported this week, beating revenues and earnings while Google and Amazon missed both. Azure grew 48% and cash flow was positive. Capex spending for the quarter was much lower than expectations. Their spending will accelerate in the second half of fiscal 2027.
He can't believe the market pushed this down to $400. The story then was that MSFT had too much tied to OpenAI, and that AI would disrupt their software business, Narratives change. MSFT is growing top and bottom line at a huge rate. He's own this since 2012. They will continue to see big earnings growth and deliver enormous free cash flow. Once the data centres are built, the hyperscalers will be the big winners.
He wouldn't but today, but neither would he sell. So much of investing is buying at the right price, and then letting things work. Valuation's a bit rich. Look to add on a pullback. Well positioned on AI. Well diversified. Great balance sheet, lots of cashflow. Important that some of these companies can do massive capex, but not be FCF-negative.
The tech group led the market all year long. Cloud-based computing is growing like wild fire. In the most recent quarter, they grew their Azure business by 120%. Software, as a service, is very attractive because it is very predictable. In the 1st few days and couple of weeks after the election, people sold some of the leading technology companies in order to buy stuff they didn’t own. Now there is new money coming into the market, and these companies have not changed their business models. This company is not expensive. It has recently taken out the highs from 2000. Their last purchase of LinkedIn gives them a great opportunity to monetize that business. Dividend yield of 2.47%. (Analysts’ price target is $63.75.)