Morgan StanleyMSTOP PICKDec 18, 2014Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Oct 23, 2026. Market Open.
After reporting, shares fell 1.8% and down 2.8% today. They just reported: revenues beat, investment and trading were up 18%, also beating, equities were strong, though fixed income missed. Wealth management grew 10% and beat, and investment beat though fell 12%. Problem is, investors are worried about inflation.
Mergers are increasing, and banks like MS makes advisory fees from them. Also, the banks have been rallying since oil slumped, and will benefit further from rising interest rates, which appears will happen later this year. Plus, hyperscalers may need to keep borrowing money to keep competing with each other.
There was a lot of regulation coming out of the recession. MS-N is moving rapidly towards asset management (55% of revenue). It is a stable business where they deal with a very high end client. Thinks their dividend could go up 100-150% over the next year. Believes investors will be prepared to pay a higher multiple as they recognize that risk levels have come down due to new regulations.