
NASDAQ:META
This summary was created by AI, based on 5 opinions in the last 12 months.
Meta Platforms, Inc. has recently experienced significant volatility, with a notable decline of over 17% in share value, dropping from $647 to approximately $534. Despite a strong performance in the prior quarter, where it reported earnings of $8.88 per share and exceeded revenue expectations, the company faces challenges, including missing earnings estimates in a subsequent quarter. Analysts have raised concerns about increased capital expenditures, particularly in AI infrastructure, which may pressure free cash flow and returns moving forward. However, some analysts see potential upside as AI investments are expected to enhance advertising capabilities and boost long-term growth, suggesting this pullback offers an attractive entry point.
He has been buying tech during this dip, in April particularly. We will eventually exit this volatility and find stability and confidence in the market again. Meta and Microsoft are some of his key holdings, and they affirmed their capex guidance--they are spending to make incredible investments over the next three years, because they know AI is the biggest super-cycle every in technology. There is incredible pent-up demand for AI from businesses and consumers. The CEO of MSFT reported that his company processed 50 trillion tokens last month alone, or 3.5 million years of AI conversation.
META has a dominant market position in social media, its monthly active users exceeds 3 billion, and it is investing in AI. It is a cash flow machine, generating $52B in free cash flow over the past 12 months, it has grown sales by 19% over the past 12 months, and earnings growth is 47% over the past 12 months. It is currently priced at 23.7X forward earnings, which for a company rapidly growing sales and earnings, we feel is fairly cheap, although it can be cyclical depending on enterprise ad budgets.
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The stock has made a bit of a 'round trip' from its recent highs but considering its strength, market share, financial position and growth, at 23X earnings (with $77B cash) we think it is buyable for investors who can look beyond the current market volatility (which will end, one day).
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Generally, big tech are good companies, but have lost ground recently and their valuations have been nosebleeds for a long time. Meta is basically Facebook; he can message his mother in New Zealand cheaply, but fundamentally what will it do for him? Is it a sustainable business model. It's too early to say which of these names is a buy the dip, buy you could trim or take some names off the table.
He would not buy as a value investor since the valuation is reasonably full, unless AI gives them a big edge. It has executed very well and is a cash flow machine. The main source of income is advertising and ad spending tends to go down in an economic slowdown.