Meta Platforms IncMETASTRONG BUYOct 31, 2018Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Sep 15, 2026. Market Open.
They're still generating huge amounts of cash despite all their AI spending. Trades at only 20x PE and down 2% this year after a huge run in 2025. Doesn't know if their paid subscriptions will work or not. But they keep doing things efficiently and ahead of the curve. They get things right without being overly aggressive. Their ad business remains huge.
Court trials and big settlements are largely done. Valuation today pretty attractive. Its data centre buildout is the reason to own. One of the most under-earning data centre companies out there, as they decided to keep excess capacity for themselves. That capacity can either be used to develop great products (adds revenue), or to rent out (again, adds revenue).
Trades at 14-15x PE. Yield is 0.35%.
It's his largest position. It's down due to the lawsuit about social media addiction among children. Their moat is that half the planet uses Instagram, Whatsapp or Facebook daily. Is there social media addiction? Yes. Are children not developed enough to use them? Yes. Weakness now is an opportunity, as it trades below 20x PE. Strong cash generation. Watch their capex spend--wants to see returns, but has faith in the CEO.
(Analysts’ price target is $745.29)They just reported a revenue beat, but earnings missed due to a $2.4 billion in legal contingencies. Guidance for this quarter was weak and they narrowed their full-year capex forecast, raising it slightly. Shares are getting killed after hours. The stock is trying his patience. Wants their AI spending to be more creative to monetize Whatsapp
Are concerns about capex spending by Meta and peers. But Meta can increase cash flow because of their consumer base. Can these companies support future capex spending? They would need cash flow support. And within their base business, do they have pricing power, and other businesses that can generate revenue? For Meta: yes to all.
Last night's earnings were phenomenal. They didn't have to spend $14 billion this year on data centres and hiring to police posts. FB hurt their own earnings on purpose. These costs will eventually subside while FB enjoys phenomenal earnings. They're spending money in advance of huge data consumption in Instagram and WhatsApp--they're ahead of the curve. The potential is limitless with FB. Has tremendous upside. Trading at only 20x earnings. The headlines have taken over but investors should look at FB's tremendous fundamentals. Yes, there are anti-trust risks to all these companies, but the upside is big.