Meta Platforms IncMETABUYSep 13, 2016Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Sep 15, 2026. Market Open.
They're still generating huge amounts of cash despite all their AI spending. Trades at only 20x PE and down 2% this year after a huge run in 2025. Doesn't know if their paid subscriptions will work or not. But they keep doing things efficiently and ahead of the curve. They get things right without being overly aggressive. Their ad business remains huge.
Court trials and big settlements are largely done. Valuation today pretty attractive. Its data centre buildout is the reason to own. One of the most under-earning data centre companies out there, as they decided to keep excess capacity for themselves. That capacity can either be used to develop great products (adds revenue), or to rent out (again, adds revenue).
Trades at 14-15x PE. Yield is 0.35%.
It's his largest position. It's down due to the lawsuit about social media addiction among children. Their moat is that half the planet uses Instagram, Whatsapp or Facebook daily. Is there social media addiction? Yes. Are children not developed enough to use them? Yes. Weakness now is an opportunity, as it trades below 20x PE. Strong cash generation. Watch their capex spend--wants to see returns, but has faith in the CEO.
(Analysts’ price target is $745.29)They just reported a revenue beat, but earnings missed due to a $2.4 billion in legal contingencies. Guidance for this quarter was weak and they narrowed their full-year capex forecast, raising it slightly. Shares are getting killed after hours. The stock is trying his patience. Wants their AI spending to be more creative to monetize Whatsapp
Are concerns about capex spending by Meta and peers. But Meta can increase cash flow because of their consumer base. Can these companies support future capex spending? They would need cash flow support. And within their base business, do they have pricing power, and other businesses that can generate revenue? For Meta: yes to all.
A remarkable company. It has 1.7 billion monthly users. They have other incredible brands like WhatsApp and Instagram. What is amazing is that they have all of this information on all of their users. You want to own this because they are targeting specific advertising, digital advertising. Digital advertising last year was 35% of advertising spend, TV was 37%. Digital spend is catching up to TV. This is only going to get better at monetizing that giant subscriber base. Google (GOOGL-Q) is as well. You need to own both of these companies. A great long-term hold.