McDonaldsMCDCOMMENTJul 29, 2024Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 04, 2026. Market Open.
Half its business is NA, half international. Not a huge amount of growth, perhaps 5-6%. EPS growth of 7-8%. Opens a few new stores a year. More of a landlord, with over 90% franchised. Very high ROIC.
Only 20x PE today, down from historically high 20s. In his world, it's a staple not discretionary :) Yield is 2.65%.
Was downgraded last Friday and today over fears they won't meet expectations this quarter, including disappointment over MCD's new chicken strips dish, that it won't turn things around. Rather, customer prefer heavily breaded chicken and the find these strips ugly. However, history says it has never paid to downgrade MCD. It's the king, offering good value and is highly well-run. The CEO will figure it out.
Shares fell this year, because many felt its food was too expensive. This morning, they reported disappointing same-store sales, a big sales miss and earnings miss, but shares jumped nearly 4% today. Why? The rally is broadening beyond tech/AI. Also, the street expected MCD's bad numbers, and they introduce $5 Value Meals.