Richard Croft
LuLulemon Athletica (US)
LULU-Q
TOP PICK
Dec 27, 2019
Still bullish on growth. They are adding stores in Lululemon. They are doing everything right. A good way to play the retail sector. (Analysts’ price target is $240.13)
It is a large company with good products but some styles that are coming back are not their strength. Revenue is slowing down which is not good for any stock trading in the 50X, 40X or 30X range. Revenue guidance dropped in the last quarterly report. He prefers smaller size retailers.
With three year revenue growth over 30%, we reiterate LULU as a TOP PICK. Cash reserves are growing, while shares are aggressively bought back. It trades at 21x earnings and supports a robust 43% ROE. We recommend trailing up the stop (from $200) to $230, looking to achieve $316 -- upside potential of 16%. Yield 0%
(A Top Pick Sep 24/24, Up 22.4%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly
Our PAST TOP PICK with LULU has achieved its target at $316. To remain disciplined, we recommend covering half the position at this time and trailing up the stop (from $230) to $267.
Started the year at $520, then lost 50% of its value. Starting a recovery, but losing steam. A possibility, but be very careful. Not a lot of volume on the buying, certainly not as much as on the downside. Don't take a big position, $300 would be a good place to get out.
Tries to stay away from specialty retailers, though LULU might be an exception. Seems to have bottomed out and is coming back. Tough business. He'd rather own an AMZN.
Shares soared 16% today after reporting. China was a key driver. Inventories and loyalty program are doing well. An excellent quarter. They bought back a lot of shares.
(A Top Pick Sep 24/24, Up 35.5%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly
Our PAST TOP PICK with LULU has triggered its stop at $367. To remain disciplined, we recommend covering the position at this time. This will result in a net investment gain of 42%, when combined with our previous guidance.