Laurentian BankLB.TOBUYFeb 24, 2017Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 04, 2026. Market Open.
LB traded sideways for the past year, with a nice level of support around $24, and after its recent earnings it popped higher to $30. To help confirm an uptrend, we would like to see it rise above $32. We do not see any news regarding a potential sale, but it trades at a decent valuation of 9.5X forward earnings, and some major banks raised their price targets on the name following its recent results. Given the negative momentum and slow growth, we would prefer assessing this one from the sidelines.
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Bought in his conservative strategy when all the analysts on the street hated it. Stock has a definite bottom, and he bought near that for a swing trade. Now at, or near, the top. His target was $31 -- obtained, as that was the level of support in late 2022 and mid-2023. Today it's around $29.50, so he's on the verge of selling.
Could move a bit higher, as the banks tend to move as a group until the end of December. Might get another $1 out of it. "Bulls make money, bears make money, pigs get slaughtered." Once it hits $31, he's out.
Doesn't have a bright outlook for its future. Not a good bank. Multi-decade series of strategic blunders. Increasingly, scale matters, and this one is sub-scale. Put themselves up for sale, but why would anyone buy it when they can just eat their lunch for free and take their market share?
Different from NA takeover of CWB; both of those banks are good banks.
This bank has done a tremendous job in trying to improve underlying operations with a focus on ROE. A big under performer relative to the other banks in respect to their profitability and ROE generation. Now they have focused on that, so are closing a lot of branches and optimizing operations. They are focusing on issues which are profitable, where they don’t have to compete with other banks and other institutions. It has really reinvented itself. However, it was a great buy closer to BV, and has even dipped below BV. Every time they do this, it is a tremendous buying opportunity. Dividend yield of 4.08%.