Kinder Morgan CanadaKML.TOCOMMENTMar 14, 2018Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Dec 19, 2019. Market Open.
(A Top Pick Feb 14/19, Up 5%) Kinder Morgan Canada was purchased by Pembina Pipeline. This was the TMX project. He was hoping for a better price in the acquisition, so the return was muted.
The payout ratio on PPL is about 98%, so there is not a lot of wiggle room. He does not own this one. The company is looking to buy KML. He has a short on this simply because they are already long KML. The balance sheet is better than most pipelines out there. However, it does not score cheaply enough on valuations for him to want to buy today. Yield 5.2%
Kinder Morgan (KMI-N) or Kinder Morgan Canada (KML-T)? In the short term, he would choose neither. If certain things happen, he would look at the Kinder Morgan Canada position. The Canadian subsidiary, without the pipeline expansion, is worth $15. That is just on the assets and the quality of the assets. Since you can get the shares close to $15, you are getting all the optionality. He is waiting for an opportunity to get this under $16. In the US, it is an MLP, and he is not positive on the MLP market. There is just so much debt associated in that area.
Kinder Morgan Canada (KML-T) vs Kinder Morgan (KMI-N). He is luke-warm on both of these. Higher interest rates will put downward pressure on these pipeline/utility sector stocks. KML is trading above fair value he thinks and does not have the earnings to support these prices.