Stockchase Opinions

Javed Mirza Hydro One H-T PAST TOP PICK Dec 24, 2024

(A Top Pick Jul 12/24, Up 11%)

It broke out since mid-July but has been sideways lately. As long as the stock holds at lows around $44, fine, but if it breaks below that, there will likely be more downside.

$44.510

Stock price when the opinion was issued

electrical utilities
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HOLD

Great company and business. Trading at 18x. Growing at peer average. Better names in sector to own. Would recommend holding. 

WEAK BUY

Benefitting from more immigration to Ontario. A predictable utility that'll grow 5% annually, so just collect the dividend. Shares won't do much. It's a slow-growing business. But Fortis and Emera pay higher dividends.

HOLD

It's a Hold, not a Sell, because there don't seem to be a lot of reasons for it to go down. Catching a tailwind as a bond proxy with bonds in rally mode. Good and safe dividend, will probably grow, well supported by cashflow. Well managed. Not a Buy, as there are better ideas. He owns FTS instead, as it's larger and more diversified.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

Rising interest rates putting pressure on stock. Company uses substantial debt. Analyst estimates very broad. Would recommend waiting to buy when share price falls. Share price not low enough. Good company, with stable earnings - just not priced correctly. 

TOP PICK

The stock chart is presenting opportunity to break out. Technical pattern is great for investors. "Higher lows" indicating a new high for the stock price. Doesn't believe rate hikes will occur - good tailwind for the business. Boring business that is good for shareholder value. 

DON'T BUY
QBR.B vs. H for 3-5 years.

Hydro One is too expensive to buy here. QBR.B is in a very challenged space with the 4 well-capitalized players. Whole telecom industry is cheap, QBR.B will work over time, decent dividend.

Gun to the head, he'd pick QBR.B. No gun, putting capital into a dividend stock for 3-5 years, he'd pick neither and put money into MFC instead utilizing the Canadian dividend tax credit.

BUY

Trades at a higher PE than its peers, but they execute very well. Shares continue to grind higher.

DON'T BUY

Very stable. Most assets are in Ontario, whereas she likes diversification of jurisdiction. Traditionally Ontario has not been the best regulator, and it's at the mercy of just that one regulator. Prefers EMA.

WEAK BUY

Likes it. Decent pullback. US tariffs may not be positive for a stock like this, but let's just wait till January 20 to see what happens. Decent surplus of electricity in Ontario, which can impact prices to the downside. If you foresee volatility and lower interest rates, not a bad choice.

Not a growth stock. Pays a dividend, but not the highest. Stable company.