General Motors CorporationGMHOLDAug 16, 2023Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Oct 23, 2026. Market Open.
In late July, they reported an excellent quarter, taking shares to all-time highs. But oil prices have remained high and interest rates keep rising. GM has lost some of its gains, but is still up 49% this year. However, they just released heavy-duty truck models and have a growing digital services business. Business is holding up well.
It reported a strong quarter yesterday: a big revenue beat at 2% growth, an EPS beat, margin growth and raised their full-year forecast for the second-straight quarter. Their core North American business drove the good results with steady customary demand. Full-size SUVs are in strong demand and leading the market. Amazing execution. Trades at a cheap almost-6x PE, there's plenty of upside, especially if peace breaks out between US and Iran.
#2 market share (at 13%) in EVs in the States behind TSLA. Throttling back EV aspirations, still mostly about internal combustion. Street's expecting compound earnings growth of 13% over coming 3 years (pretty good for a mature industry). Trades at 6x PE.
Pretty good chart. A MAGA-protected stock. Cyclical tailwinds. He's not averse to owning.
Tariff talk put it in the crosshairs. But it's executed very well. Tariffs are still a headwind. Reconstructed business plan and moved away from EVs. Maintained good cashflow, and he's expecting ~$12 EPS this year.
CEO has done a fabulous job. Very inexpensive 7x PE. Yield is 0.91%.
What's interesting about some of these domestic automakers is that they handily outperformed TSLA.
Super-cyclical. Depends on the consumer, interest rates and, of course, CUSMA. That said, technicals look fine -- higher highs and higher lows. Has to continue to execute. Buying back shares, increasing dividend.
Wells Fargo projects that a strike would cost GM $2.7 billion and Ford $2.4 billion of adjusted EBIT a month. That said, he's not that worried and is not a risk to sell the carmakers. A strike is a one-off event, and the stock market cares only about the future. Also, Biden won't let a strike drag on; cars are a critical industry. Third, these stocks have already come down to absorb a stock. That said, if the strike leads to much higher wages, that would hurt these stocks. Don't rush in to buy these stocks.